617 

ACUS11 KWNS 291910

SWOMCD

SPC MCD 291909 

SCZ000-GAZ000-FLZ000-NCZ000-292145-



Mesoscale Discussion 1381

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0209 PM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026



Areas affected...portions of western south Carolina and eastern

Georgia



Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 



Valid 291909Z - 292145Z



Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent



SUMMARY...A few damaging gusts possible across portions of western

South Carolina and eastern Georgia. A watch is not anticipated at

this time.



DISCUSSION...Convection is developing near the Georgia/South

Carolina border at the periphery of an upper-level ridge. A deep,

moist air mass is in place with weak flow throughout the column, as

shown by the JAX 18Z RAOB. The weak flow is giving rise to mainly

single-cell convection with occasional multicells, and a few weak

downburst signatures have been observed on regional WSR-88Ds. Due to

the moist profiles, some damaging gusts may occur with water-loaded

downdrafts, and any clustering may increase the potential for

damaging gusts. Additionally, a weak surface boundary may provide a

focus for additional convection as the afternoon progresses.

However, the coverage of damaging gusts is expected to be sparse

enough that a watch is not anticipated at this time.



..Supinie/Guyer.. 06/29/2026



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...



ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...GSP...JAX...FFC...TAE...



LAT...LON   32188057 34478189 35198233 35328289 35108326 33528375

            32058351 30928248 30618152 31308104 32188057 



MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH