136 

ACUS03 KWNS 281907

SWODY3

SPC AC 281906



Day 3 Convective Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0106 PM CST Sat Feb 28 2026



Valid 021200Z - 031200Z



...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...



...SUMMARY...

Thunderstorms will be possible on Monday and Monday night across

parts of the central U.S. and from the Intermountain West into the

central Rockies.



...Synopsis...

A broad fetch of isentropic ascent will likely become established

across the central U.S. Monday through Monday night as

south/southwesterly 925-850 mb winds gradually increase in response

to the approach of an upper wave from the West. While buoyancy

profiles will likely be fairly modest due to poor mid-level lapse

rates, adequate low-level moistening should take place to support

isolated elevated thunderstorms from the southern Plains northward

into the mid-MS River Valley. Although surface-based buoyancy should

be maximized across western TX in proximity to a meandering dry

line/lee trough and south of a weak front, very warm temperatures at

850 mb/strong capping will subdue convective potential. Across the

Intermountain West, cold temperatures aloft associated with the

upper wave should support isolated lightning flashes.



..Moore.. 02/28/2026



$$