977 

ACUS03 KWNS 280810

SWODY3

SPC AC 280809



Day 3 Convective Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0209 AM CST Sat Feb 28 2026



Valid 021200Z - 031200Z



...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...



...SUMMARY...

Thunderstorms will be possible on Monday across parts of the central

U.S. and from the Intermountain West into the central Rockies.



...Western Oklahoma/Eastern Texas Panhandle/Far Southern Kansas...

A positively tilted mid-level trough will move eastward across

southern California on Monday. A fetch of mid-level

west-southwesterly flow will be in place from the Desert Southwest

into the south-central U.S. At the surface, moisture advection

within south to southeasterly flow will continue across the southern

and central Plains. As surface temperatures warm during the day, an

axis of moderate instability is forecast to develop across

west-central and northwest Texas. This instability should spread

northward across the eastern Texas Panhandle and western Oklahoma

during the early to mid evening. Although weak low-level convergence

should be in place near the instability axis, forecast soundings

suggest that a strong capping inversion will inhibit convective

development Monday evening. Although there may be a low-end

conditional threat, will hold off an introducing a threat area due

the strong capping inversion that is forecast. Further northeast,

elevated storms are expected to develop after midnight from

north-central Kansas into western Missouri, along the northern edge

of a pronounced 40 to 50 knot low-level jet.



..Broyles.. 02/28/2026



$$