743 WWPQ81 PGUM 291106 SPSPQ1 Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Tiyan GU 906 PM ChST Mon Jun 29 2026 MHZ002-301115- Majuro- 906 PM ChST Mon Jun 29 2026 ...INVEST 95W BRINGING HEAVY SHOWERS AND A SURGE IN SOUTHWEST WINDS AND SWELL THROUGH TUESDAY... Invest 95W is currently draped across the central Marshall Islands as an elongated, disorganized disturbance, with a centerpoint located at 9N168E, roughly due north of Kwajalein. This centerpoint sits between two circulation centers on 95W's western and eastern sides, roughly north-northeast of Kosrae and north of Majuro, respectively. The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) still rates Invest 95W as "medium" for development, meaning it will likely develop into a significant tropical cyclone (a Tropical Depression), but not within 24 hours. Satellite depicts deep convection to the west and northwest of Majuro, associated with the nearby circulation center, and latest observations depict light winds at the surface. Conditions have eased since the heavy rains and strong winds that caused power outages on Majuro last night, but Invest 95W continues to develop and consolidate, supporting a continuation of unusual southwest swell and the potential for additional west to southwest wind bursts through at least Tuesday. This will maintain elevated surf along south- and west- facing reefs and support combined seas of 6 to 8 feet. Stronger southwest winds could allow waves to pile up along the lagoon side of the eastern reefs and islands of the atoll. Properties along west- to southwest-facing coastlines may see minor wave run- up and coastal inundation, especially during times of high tide with the current full moon cycle. With this in mind, a Coastal Flood Statement remains in effect for Majuro through late tonight, and could be extended. In addition, a Small Craft Advisory remains in effect through late tonight as gusty, surging southwest winds may produce choppy seas that are at times hazardous to small craft. Latest model guidances favors Invest 95W to gradually consolidate about the westernmost circulation through tonight and Tuesday, with 95W then strengthening as it meanders north-northwest across the northwestern RMI into the latter half of the week, as a fairly large storm with potential to become a typhoon. As a result, winds will shift southerly across the Marshalls, then southeasterly as 95W moves away. For more information on Invest 95W, please refer to bulletins from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) under WMO header ABPW10 PGTW. $$ FMZ001-013-301115- Kosrae-Pohnpei- 906 PM ChST Mon Jun 29 2026 ...LOCALLY HEAVY SHOWERS AND GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS POSSIBLE THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS INVEST 95W DEVELOPS NEARBY... Invest 95W is currently draped across the central Marshall Islands as an elongated, disorganized disturbance, with a centerpoint located at 9N168E, roughly due north of Kwajalein. This centerpoint sits between two circulation centers on 95W's western and eastern sides, roughly north-northeast of Kosrae and north of Majuro, respectively. The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) still rates Invest 95W as "medium" for development, meaning it will likely develop into a significant tropical cyclone (a Tropical Depression), but not within 24 hours. Latest observations depict moderate southwest winds at Kosrae and gentle northwest to west winds at Pohnpei, and current satellite depicts a broad area of deep, flaring convection just north of both islands, associated with the nearby circulation center. Locally heavy showers and gusty west to northwest winds will be possible across Kosrae and Pohnpei through the next few days as Invest 95W develops, before it begins to move away in the latter half of the week. Latest model guidances favors Invest 95W to gradually consolidate about the westernmost circulation through tonight and Tuesday, roughly north to north-northeast of Kosrae, with 95W then strengthening as it meanders north-northwest across the northwestern RMI into the latter half of the week, as a fairly large storm with potential to become a typhoon. This will maintain an unsettled pattern and strengthening westerly flow for Pohnpei and Kosrae over the next few days, which will gradually shift southwest as 95W pulls away toward the end of the week, potentially as a tropical storm or typhoon. For more information on Invest 95W, please refer to bulletins from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) under WMO header ABPW10 PGTW. $$