330 

FNUS75 KSLC 281655

FWSSLC



Spot Forecast for Elk Meadows...UT-SWS

National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT

955 AM MST Sat Feb 28 2026



Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 MST on March 02. 

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather

Service.



.DISCUSSION...A pacific system will approach there area through the

day Monday, with increasing deep southwesterly flow in turn 

leading to an increase in southwesterly winds and gusts. 

Increasing moisture will also result in increasing precipitation 

chances through the day, with the highest chances expected between

roughly 1200 to 2400 local. The period of highest precipitation 

rates (and slight thunderstorm chance) will be with a cold frontal

passage around 1700-2100 local. Winds will also shift more west 

to northwest following the passage of this frontal boundary. 

Showers will linger into Tuesday, but with coverage gradually 

decreasing. Storm total water amounts around 0.30" to 0.45" are 

expected, with snow levels/ratios supporting roughly 1.5" to 3.5" 

of snow. After a brief period of quieter weather, system appears 

poised to push through the region Wednesday night into Friday.





.MONDAY...



Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent cloud cover). 

                    Chance of snow late in the morning. Snow 

                    showers likely and slight chance of 

                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon. 

CWR.................20 percent. 

Chance of pcpn......60 percent. 

Chance of lightning.5 percent. 

Max temperature.....46-50. 

Min humidity........30-45 percent. 

Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 15-20 mph with gusts to around

					30 mph. Gusty and erratic winds near/in areas

					of precipitation. Wind shift west to northwest

					around 1700 to 2100 local time.

Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL. 

   Climatology......40-50th Percentile. 

Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph becoming around 32 mph 

                    in the afternoon. 

Clearing index......1000+. 



.MONDAY NIGHT...



Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent cloud cover) then 

                    becoming partly cloudy (65-75 percent cloud 

                    cover). Snow showers likely and slight chance 

                    of thunderstorms early in the evening, then 

                    snow likely early in the evening.

CWR.................45 percent. 

Chance of pcpn......60 percent. 

Chance of lightning.10 percent. 

Min temperature.....26-30. 

Max humidity........75-80 percent. 

Wind (20 ft)........West-northwest winds 7-15 mph with gusts to 20

					mph in the evening, shifting more northwest

					and relaxing to around 3-7 mph overnight.

Mixing height.......200 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....Southwest around 31 mph becoming northwest 

                    around 14 mph overnight. 



.TUESDAY...



Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent cloud cover). 

                    Chance of snow. 

CWR.................25 percent. 

Chance of pcpn......40 percent. 

Chance of lightning.5 percent. 

Max temperature.....39-43. 

Min humidity........50-55 percent. 

Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5-10 mph with gusts around

					15-20 mph. 

Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL. 

   Climatology......20-30th Percentile. 

Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph. 

Clearing index......350. 



$$

Forecaster...Warthen

Requested by...George Humphreys

Type of request...PRESCRIBED

.TAG 2604321.0/SLC

.DELDT 02/28/26

.FormatterVersion 2.0.0

.EMAIL georgehumphreys@utah.gov