036 FNUS74 KLZK 280823 FWSLZK Spot Forecast for BP - Greenhaw...USFS National Weather Service Little Rock AR 223 AM CST Sat Feb 28 2026 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CST on February 28. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at (501) 834-3955 and ask for the fire weather forecaster if you have any questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... Well above normal temperatures will be seen again this Saturday...along with dry air remaining in place. Southerly winds will increase today...but should remain below critical levels. Moisture levels will increase for Sunday as a new cold front drops into the state. This will bring some increased rain chances...northerly winds...and cooler conditions. .REST OF TODAY... Max temperature.....58 at ignition...Max 73. Min humidity........48 percent at ignition...Min 28 percent. Chance of pcpn......10 percent. Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 18 mph increasing to 16 to 24 mph in the afternoon. Stability class.....5. LVORI...............1. Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Dispersion..........34 increasing to 65 in the afternoon. Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches. 1700 Ft Mix Temp....67. Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 7517 ft MSL. Category Day........5. Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 5600 ft AGL. TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Temp............58 63 67 70 72 73 73 73 72 RH..............48 40 35 32 30 28 28 28 29 20 FT wind dir..S S S S SW S SW SW S 20 FT wind spd..3 6 7 8 8 8 8 7 7 20 FT wind gust.8 11 14 16 16 17 17 14 14 Transp wind dir.SW SW S S SW SW SW SW SW Transp wind spd.9 12 15 18 22 24 24 21 16 Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 .TONIGHT... Min temperature.....Min 47. Max humidity........Max 68 percent. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 13 mph shifting to the north 10 to 14 mph overnight. Stability class.....6. LVORI...............2. Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of rain showers early in the evening. Dispersion..........7. Rainfall amount.....0.01 inches. Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 2339 ft MSL. Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 400 ft AGL. TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky cover.......PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR MC Weather cov..... SCH Weather type.... RW Tstm cov........ Temp............70 67 64 60 60 59 59 58 56 55 52 50 RH..............31 36 40 47 47 51 51 53 55 57 61 68 20 FT wind dir..S SW SW SW SW SW W N N N N N 20 FT wind spd..6 6 5 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 20 FT wind gust.13 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 11 12 12 13 Transp wind dir.S SW SW SW SW W W W N N N N Transp wind spd.12 12 12 13 12 12 10 10 10 10 12 14 Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 .SUNDAY... Max temperature.....Max 60. Min humidity........Min 45 percent. Chance of pcpn......40 percent. Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 16 mph shifting to the east 14 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Stability class.....4. LVORI...............2 early in the morning. Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Dispersion..........14 increasing to 28 in the late morning and afternoon. Rainfall amount.....0.04 inches. 1700 Ft Mix Temp....55. Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 4397 ft MSL. Category Day........3. Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 2500 ft AGL. TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky cover.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC CDY CDY CDY Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ Temp............50 48 49 50 52 55 57 59 59 59 57 55 RH..............66 68 63 61 56 51 47 45 45 47 51 55 20 FT wind dir..NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E E E 20 FT wind spd..5 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 20 FT wind gust.14 14 16 16 16 16 16 16 17 17 18 18 Transp wind dir.NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E E E Transp wind spd.15 16 16 16 15 15 14 14 15 15 15 15 Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 40 40 40 40 40 40 $$ Forecaster...62 Requested by...Bradley Taylor Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2604288.0/LZK .DELDT 02/28/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL bradley.taylor@usda.gov,bradley.taylor@usda.gov.  469 FNUS74 KLZK 280824 FWSLZK Spot Forecast for CW Gap Creek 12 13 14 & Hickory Nut Mountain...USFS National Weather Service Little Rock AR 224 AM CST Sat Feb 28 2026 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CST on February 28. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at (501) 834-3955 and ask for the fire weather forecaster if you have any questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... Well above normal temperatures will be seen again this Saturday...along with dry air remaining in place. Southerly winds will increase today...but should remain below critical levels. Moisture levels will increase for Sunday as a new cold front drops into the state. This will bring some increased rain chances...northerly winds...and cooler conditions. .REST OF TODAY... Max temperature.....51 at ignition...Max 78. Min humidity........70 percent at ignition...Min 22 percent. Chance of pcpn......10 percent. Transport winds.....South 7 to 16 mph increasing to 12 to 17 mph late in the afternoon. Stability class.....5. LVORI...............1. Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Dispersion..........8 increasing to 47. Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches. 1700 Ft Mix Temp....74. Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 6707 ft MSL. Category Day........4. Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 6100 ft AGL. TIME (CST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR MCR MCR MCR PC MCR Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Temp............51 56 61 66 72 75 77 78 78 78 76 RH..............70 59 48 39 31 28 25 23 22 22 24 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..2 3 3 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 6 20 FT wind gust.5 6 6 10 10 11 11 12 12 10 10 Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW S S S S S S S Transp wind spd.7 9 10 12 14 15 16 17 17 15 12 Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 .TONIGHT... Min temperature.....Min 54. Max humidity........Max 65 percent. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. Transport winds.....South 7 to 9 mph shifting to the east around 7 mph early in the morning. Stability class.....6. LVORI...............2. Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of rain showers early in the evening. Slight chance of rain showers early in the morning. Dispersion..........4. Rainfall amount.....0.03 inches. Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 1240 ft MSL. Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 600 ft AGL. TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky cover.......PC PC PC MC PC PC PC PC PC PC MC MC Weather cov..... SCH SCH Weather type.... RW RW Tstm cov........ Temp............73 69 66 62 61 61 60 60 59 57 57 57 RH..............28 33 37 44 46 48 50 52 54 60 61 61 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S SW SW SW SW NW SE E 20 FT wind spd..6 5 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 20 FT wind gust.8 7 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 6 5 6 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S SW SW S E Transp wind spd.9 8 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 .SUNDAY... Max temperature.....Max 70. Min humidity........Min 41 percent. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. Transport winds.....East 7 to 16 mph. Stability class.....4. LVORI...............2 early in the morning. Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of rain showers in the morning, then chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Dispersion..........13 increasing to 40. Rainfall amount.....0.03 inches. 1700 Ft Mix Temp....70. Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 4783 ft MSL. Category Day........4. Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 4100 ft AGL. TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky cover.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ Temp............55 56 58 60 62 65 67 68 69 69 68 66 RH..............64 65 61 57 52 48 45 43 41 41 43 44 20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E E E E E E E 20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 20 FT wind gust.6 7 8 10 11 11 12 13 13 14 14 14 Transp wind dir.E E E E E E E E E E E E Transp wind spd.7 8 10 12 13 13 13 14 15 15 16 16 Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 30 30 $$ Forecaster...62 Requested by...Justus Beggs Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2604271.0/LZK .DELDT 02/28/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL amanda.gee@usda.gov,justus.beggs@usda.gov