620 FNUS71 KAKQ 281821 FWSAKQ Spot Forecast for POGO...VDOF National Weather Service Wakefield VA 121 PM EST Sat Feb 28 2026 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EST on March 01. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service at 757-899-5734. .DISCUSSION... Mild and dry today on SW to W winds ahead of an approaching cold front. That front approaches the region in "backdoor" fashion from the north Sunday morning, then drops south through central and southern Virginia during the mid to late afternoon time frame. Winds out of the W-SW shift to the NW to N after the front passes Sunday afternoon. It should be noted that there is still some degree of uncertainty with the exact timing of the frontal passage, so continue to monitor the updated forecast tonight and early Sunday. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of pcpn......10 percent. Max temperature.....Around 65. Min humidity........46 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 8 mph early in the afternoon, then shifting to the north 8 to 10 mph late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph shifting to the northeast 17 to 18 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9775 mph-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (36570 mph-ft) in the afternoon. TIME (EST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........46 42 39 31 40 48 57 66 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 Temp............56 59 62 65 64 62 58 53 RH..............72 64 56 50 51 52 53 60 20 FT wind dir..SW W W NW NW N N N 20 FT wind spd..3 4 5 7 8 8 9 10 20 FT wind gust.5 6 8 13 14 14 15 18 Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.7 Transp wind dir.NW NW N N N N N NE Transp wind spd.10 12 12 14 14 15 17 18 Vrate mph-ft/1K.9 15 20 30 32 35 36 36 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .SUNDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of pcpn......10 percent. Min temperature.....Around 32. Max humidity........72 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph. Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northeast 17 to 18 mph shifting to the north 20 to 28 mph early in the evening, then decreasing to around 18 mph after 3 am. Smoke dispersal.....Good (30934 mph-ft). TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........72 78 75 74 72 67 61 56 51 45 40 48 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............50 47 44 43 41 40 38 37 36 34 33 33 RH..............61 63 68 67 67 67 70 67 69 72 72 72 20 FT wind dir..N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT wind spd..9 9 8 7 7 6 6 5 5 5 6 6 20 FT wind gust.15 15 14 12 12 11 11 8 8 8 11 11 Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 Transp wind dir.NE NE N N N N N N N N N N Transp wind spd.17 18 28 26 25 25 24 23 22 20 18 18 Vrate mph-ft/1K.31 30 51 50 47 46 45 43 39 36 34 35 Ventrate Cat....PR PR FR FR FR FR PR PR PR PR PR PR .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of snow in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. Max temperature.....Around 41. Min humidity........46 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph. Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northeast 12 to 20 mph decreasing to 9 to 10 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (20240 mph-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (41860 mph-ft) in the afternoon. TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........56 64 68 72 76 75 75 74 74 75 75 76 Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH Weather type.... SN SN SN SN SN Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 Temp............33 33 34 36 37 38 39 40 41 41 41 39 RH..............69 66 64 56 52 52 50 48 46 46 46 50 20 FT wind dir..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E E 20 FT wind spd..6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 5 20 FT wind gust.11 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 8 Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.3 2.6 2.8 2.9 2.9 2.7 2.5 2.1 Transp wind dir.N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E Transp wind spd.20 20 20 20 18 17 15 13 12 10 9 9 Vrate mph-ft/1K.37 40 41 41 41 39 35 32 27 24 22 20 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR $$ Forecaster...MONTEFUSCO Requested by...Scott Bachman Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2604327.0/AKQ .DELDT 02/28/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL scott.bachman@dof.virginia.gov