432 FXUS65 KVEF 290637 AFDVEF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Las Vegas NV 1137 PM PDT Sun Jun 28 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... * Breezy-to-gusty afternoons continue through the work week as temperatures gradually climb back toward seasonal normals. && .DISCUSSION...Today through Independence Day. The western CONUS will remain situated beneath an upper-level trough through the work week. This pattern is conducive for shortwave troughs to move through the flow aloft, bringing with them breezy afternoons. In addition to breezy conditions, the region will remain quite dry, so those recreating outdoors with sparks or flames (charcoal grills, safe-and-sane fireworks, target practice) are encouraged to exercise caution and ensure there is a bucket of water nearby to prevent any fire starts. That said, there are slight chances (10-30 percent) of showers and thunderstorms in the eastern Sierra / northern Owens Valley this afternoon. Forecast HRRR soundings show a pronounced inverted-V, though, indicating there is substantial dry air at the surface. As a result, convection is unlikely to result in widespread wetting rain; fire starts due to dry lightning cannot be ruled out, as well as strong gusty winds from the direction of storms that form. Temperatures will gradually climb through the week, reaching near-normal readings by Friday. Late-week, ridging builds back over northern Mexico and the southern United States, allowing temperatures to climb above-normal for the holiday weekend. && .AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 06Z Forecast Package...Northwest winds will continue to gust to around 20KT through around 10Z.after 10Z, the probability for winds over 10KT quickly drops to under 10% through the rest of the night as northeast winds drop to around 8KT. Around sunrise, winds will become northwest again at 8-10KT. It will be short-lived as winds transition back to around 040 degrees by 18Z then to around 140 degrees by 21Z at about 8KT. Monday evening after 03Z, winds will start to follow more diurnal trends becoming southwest under 8KT for Monday. Clear skies will persist through the period. Temperatures will remain below 100 degrees. For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast California...For the 06Z Forecast Package...Northwest winds will continue to push south through tonight, reaching the lower Colorado River Valley by 12Z Monday morning. Northwest winds will gust to around 20KT for a few hours as winds switch through the overnight. KDAG will remain west through the night around 10KT. On Monday, north to northeast winds will set up for much of the day with the strongest winds over 10KT in the morning slowly diminishing through the day. KBIH will become light and follow typical trends by Monday afternoon. Winds areawide gradually fall back into general diurnal trends by Monday evening. Either than a few scattered showers and thunderstorms on the Sierra crest Monday afternoon, it will be dry with clear skies. && .FIRE WEATHER...Breezy to gusty conditions continue for the next 5-7 days. Today will feature largely NW winds north of the I-15 corridor and WSW winds along and south of it. Strongest gusts in NW Arizona and along the I-40 corridor with 30-45 mph forecast. A Red Flag Warning remains in effect for most of Mohave County until 8PM this evening. For the rest of the week, winds should predominately be from the SW across the area with sustained speeds 10-20 mph and gusts in the 15-35 mph range, strongest on Wednesday and Thursday. Combined with afternoon RH values of 5-15% and poor overnight recoveries, expecting elevated fire weather conditions to return during the mid-week peak in winds. Dry conditions persist with just 10-30% PoPs across the southern Great Basin today and Monday, but odds of seeing a wetting rain are less than 10%. && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating procedures. && $$ DISCUSSION...Soulat AVIATION...Nickerson For more forecast information...see us on our webpage: https://weather.gov/lasvegas or follow us on Facebook and Twitter