946 FXUS65 KVEF 280520 AFDVEF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Las Vegas NV 920 PM PST Fri Feb 27 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... * Warm and dry conditions prevail across the region through this weekend. * A system will bring gusty winds, low chances for precipitation, and cooler temperatures early next week. * The active weather pattern continues as a upper level low the second half of next week results in another round of gusty winds to the region with continued near normal temperatures. && .DISCUSSION...Today through Friday. Ridging will remain in place over the Southwest US through the weekend which will will result in dry weather, light winds, and warm temperatures. Highs today have come down a few degrees compared to previous forecasts due to abundant cloud cover, but record high temperatures are still possible this afternoon in spots. As these clouds continue to stream into the region tonight and Saturday, numerous record high minimum temperatures are possible again Saturday. See the CLIMATE section below for details. With well above normal temperatures, Minor (Level 1) HeatRisk is expected across most valley locations. This level of heat may catch people off guard, particularly those visiting from cooler climates. Temperatures will cool the beginning of next week as the ridge is kicked out by a shortwave. While temperatures next week will be cooler than now, they will not be abnormally cold as highs only drop to near normal and not below normal. An upper level low will impact the region early next week as it moves through northern California and central Nevada. Main concern with this system will be winds late Sunday and Monday as southwest winds increase as it moves through. Probabilities for wind gusts over 40 MPH have increased and spread into more valley areas of San Bernardino County, far southern Nevada, and Mohave County, with the highest chances (70%+) in the Western Mojave Desert. Ensemble members support widespread wind gusts 25-35 MPH Monday afternoon with the potential for over 40 MPH gusts and minor wind impacts. Will potentially need wind headlines for parts of the region for Monday. While precipitation will also be possible with this system, impactful rain or snow is becoming less likely. 50th percentile rain amounts are less than 0.10 inch Sunday night through Monday across the Southern Great Basin- and even the 90th percentile suggests light amounts even if things overachieved with the highest amounts peaking at 0.2-0.3 inches in northern Lincoln County. With decreasing moisture ahead of this system, precipitation should be limited as the percentiles suggest. Snow levels will remain around 7000ft so snow will be limited to the terrain and no significant accumulation is expected. After a break with weak ridging moving through Tuesday and Wednesday, another more potent low will drop in from the Pacific Northwest the second half of the week. The trajectory of this system would suggest winds would be the main concern with minimal moisture limiting precipitation chances. This system will also reinforce the near normal temperatures expected the first half of the week, but should not result in a significant cold snap. && .AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 06Z Forecast Package...Light winds under 8 KT following typical diurnal patterns expected through Saturday night. Abundant BKN clouds at or above 15kft will persist through into Saturday morning before thinning out. For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast California...For the 06Z Forecast Package...Winds will be under 10 kts overnight and into Saturday afternoon and will follow the typical diurnal patterns. A push of more sustained westerly winds will make their way into the western San Bernardino County tomorrow afternoon with gusts of 20-25KT. SCT to BKN high clouds with bases around 15kft will continue to stream through the area. && .CLIMATE...Numerous climate locations have a forecast high temperature and/or forecast warm low temperature within 3 degrees of the daily record. The table below shows the daily record maximum temperature and the year the record was last set. An asterisk (*) denotes which records are in jeopardy (within 3 degrees of the forecast). MAX FRI, FEB 27 SAT, FEB 28 SUN, MAR 1 Record(Yr) Record (Yr) Record (Yr) Las Vegas 83(1986)* 82(2016)* 82(1986)* Bishop 81(1986) 78(1986) 78(2016) Needles 91(1986)* 90(1986)* 91(1921)* Daggett 86(1986)* 86(1986)* 86(2016)* Kingman 82(1986)* 81(1986)* 82(1910)* Desert Rock 80(1986)* 80(1986)* 80(1986) Death Valley 96(1986) 97(1986) 98(1986) The table below shows the daily record warm minimum temperature and the year the record was last set. An asterisk (*) denotes which records are in jeopardy (within 3 degrees of the forecast). WARM MIN FRI, FEB 27 SAT, FEB 28 SUN, MAR 1 Record(Yr) Record (Yr) Record (Yr) Las Vegas 59(2014)* 58(2019)* 57(2025)* Bishop 46(1988) 46(1988) 43(1982) Needles 61(1988)* 61(1986)* 61(2022)* Daggett 55(1988)* 54(1978)* 55(1986)* Kingman 52(1989)* 53(1986)* 51(1986)* Desert Rock 58(1986) 51(1986)* 50(2025)* Death Valley 68(1963) 64(2019)* 58(1986)* .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating procedures. && $$ DISCUSSION...Nickerson AVIATION...Czyzyk For more forecast information...see us on our webpage: https://weather.gov/lasvegas or follow us on Facebook and Twitter