545 

FXUS64 KSJT 281129

AFDSJT



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service San Angelo TX

529 AM CST Sat Feb 28 2026



...New AVIATION...



.KEY MESSAGES... 

 

- Well-above normal temperatures Today and record highs could be 

  tied or broken at Abilene and San Angelo. 

  

- Low to medium chance for showers and thunderstorms by the middle

  to latter part of next week. 



&&



.SHORT TERM...

(Today and tonight)

Issued at 153 AM CST Sat Feb 28 2026



Breezy south winds today will bring elevated fire weather

conditions mid morning through afternoon. Winds and RH values will

be below critical values, but very warm temperatures in the mid 

and upper 80s along with gusty winds will increase the potential 

for fire starts and spread. A rangeland fire danger statement for

elevated fire danger conditions has been send out. Otherwise, 

highs will be 20 degrees above normal, near record daily values 

today. Mild conditions continue tonight as southerly winds 

continue to slowly increase moisture. Lows tonight will be mainly 

in the lower to mid 50s. 



&&



.LONG TERM...

(Sunday night through next Saturday)

Issued at 1123 PM CST Fri Feb 27 2026



Highs on Sunday and Monday are a bit challenging. For Sunday, most 

of the guidance has highs topping out in the 80s, as morning clouds 

across our southern counties clear by mid to late morning. The NAM 

is more aggressive with expanding cloud cover across the area during 

the morning hours and persists the cloud cover across most of the 

area through much of the day. This results in much cooler 

temperatures, with highs in the 60s and 70s. For now, kept the 

forecast closer to the consensus, which indicates highs in the 80s, 

but will need to monitor. On Monday morning, a cold front will move 

south through the area, before becoming diffuse during the 

afternoon hours. The NAM is again on the cooler side of guidance 

with highs in the 60s and 70s for most of the area and upper 50s 

across the Big Country. Most of the rest of guidance has 

temperatures warming into the 80s during the afternoon as winds 

quickly shift back to the south. The current forecast again follows 

model consensus, with highs in the 80s, but will need to monitor for 

the potential for cooler temperatures. 



Tuesday, an upper level trough will track east across the Four 

Corners region, then across the Central Plains on Wednesday. This 

will bring the next chance of showers and thunderstorms to the 

forecast area. The track of this system will keep the highest rain 

chances north and east of the area, but low to medium rain chance 

(30 to 50 percent) are Tuesday through Thursday. Temperatures will 

continue to be above normal Tuesday through Thursday with highs in 

the 70s and 80s and overnight lows in the 50s.



&&



.AVIATION...

(12Z TAFS)

Issued at 523 AM CST Sat Feb 28 2026



IFR stratus moving into the Hill Country this morning, should 

remain south of KJCT and KSOA. Gusty south winds develop 

midmorning across the terminals and continue into late afternoon.

Strongest gusts up to 26 KTS expected at KABI and KSJT. IFR/MVFR 

stratus will be developing along the I-10 corridor towards 11Z 

Sunday morning. 





&&



.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Abilene     87  57  84  56 /  10   0  10  10 

San Angelo  87  55  83  56 /   0   0   0   0 

Junction    86  53  83  53 /   0   0   0   0 

Brownwood   86  53  83  54 /   0   0   0   0 

Sweetwater  87  57  83  54 /   0   0  10   0 

Ozona       83  55  80  56 /   0   0   0   0 

Brady       85  55  81  56 /   0   0   0   0 



&&



.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

None.

&&



$$



SHORT TERM...04

LONG TERM....Daniels

AVIATION...04