898 FXUS64 KSJT 280532 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 1132 PM CST Fri Feb 27 2026 ...New LONG TERM... .KEY MESSAGES... - Well-above normal temperatures Saturday and record highs could be tied or broken at Abilene and San Angelo. - Low to medium chance for showers and thunderstorms by the middle to latter part of next week. && .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Saturday) Issued at 118 PM CST Fri Feb 27 2026 The weather overall is quiet for our area in the short term, but with well-above normal temperatures. An upper level ridge is over the Baja region, the Desert Southwest and much of Mexico, and this places our area under northwest flow aloft. With a tightening surface pressure gradient, our area has increasing/breezy southeast to south winds this afternoon. Temperatures tonight will be mild with southeast to south winds and low-level return flow. Overnight lows will be in the lower to mid 50s. Low-level moisture transport will result in patchy low cloud development early Saturday morning over parts of the Northern Edwards Plateau (Sutton, Crockett and Schleicher Counties). Breezy south-southwest winds are expected on Saturday, with occasional gusts 25-30 mph. With strengthened low-level thermal ridging and mostly sunny skies Saturday, afternoon highs will be quite warm in the mid 80s to near 90 (20-25 degrees above normal). Abilene forecast high is 89 and record high is 88 (set in 2006). San Angelo forecast high is 88 and record high is 89 (set in 2006). && .LONG TERM... (Sunday night through next Saturday) Issued at 1123 PM CST Fri Feb 27 2026 Highs on Sunday and Monday are a bit challenging. For Sunday, most of the guidance has highs topping out in the 80s, as morning clouds across our southern counties clear by mid to late morning. The NAM is more aggressive with expanding cloud cover across the area during the morning hours and persists the cloud cover across most of the area through much of the day. This results in much cooler temperatures, with highs in the 60s and 70s. For now, kept the forecast closer to the consensus, which indicates highs in the 80s, but will need to monitor. On Monday morning, a cold front will move south through the area, before becoming diffuse during the afternoon hours. The NAM is again on the cooler side of guidance with highs in the 60s and 70s for most of the area and upper 50s across the Big Country. Most of the rest of guidance has temperatures warming into the 80s during the afternoon as winds quickly shift back to the south. The current forecast again follows model consensus, with highs in the 80s, but will need to monitor for the potential for cooler temperatures. Tuesday, an upper level trough will track east across the Four Corners region, then across the Central Plains on Wednesday. This will bring the next chance of showers and thunderstorms to the forecast area. The track of this system will keep the highest rain chances north and east of the area, but low to medium rain chance (30 to 50 percent) are Tuesday through Thursday. Temperatures will continue to be above normal Tuesday through Thursday with highs in the 70s and 80s and overnight lows in the 50s. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1042 PM CST Fri Feb 27 2026 VFR conditions are forecast for the remainder of the TAF period. Expect breezy winds to start up again late Saturday morning and last until the evening. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 82 59 87 57 / 0 0 10 0 San Angelo 84 57 87 55 / 0 0 0 0 Junction 85 52 86 53 / 0 0 0 0 Brownwood 82 51 86 53 / 0 0 0 0 Sweetwater 80 59 87 57 / 0 0 0 0 Ozona 83 56 83 55 / 0 0 0 0 Brady 81 54 85 55 / 0 0 0 0 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...19 LONG TERM....Daniels AVIATION...41