338 

FXUS63 KPAH 302318

AFDPAH



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Paducah KY

518 PM CST Tue Dec 30 2025



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Temperatures will continue to slowly moderate. Highs will

  generally be in the 40s through the weekend, with lows ranging

  from 25 to 35 degrees.



- The only chance of rain in the next 7 to 10 days will be a

  10-30% chance over the southern half of the Quad State Friday

  afternoon and evening. There is a 10% or less chance of a

  tenth of an inch of rainfall, so it will be some light rain,

  if anything.



&&



.DISCUSSION...

Issued at 159 PM CST Tue Dec 30 2025



The forecast has trended a bit cooler through the week.

Temperatures will warm into the 40s, but remain below normal on

Wednesday. A weak cold front will pass southward through the 

area late Wednesday night into early Thursday, and that will 

keep temperatures similar to Wednesday. Temperatures may climb 

to normal or slightly above on Friday, but with clouds and some 

light precipitation possible, the NBM may be overdone with lower

50s in the south. Behind the Friday system, there will be a 

reinforcing shot of cooler air holding temperatures below normal

on Saturday. For Sunday, and especially heading into next week,

increasing heights aloft and low-level warm advection will 

finally lead to a nice warming trend to above normal levels

Sunday and Monday.



The lone chance of rain in the forecast has shifted south and

now may completely pass by to the south of the Quad State. The

ensembles indicate a 10-30% chance of rain with the best chance

right along the Tennessee border. The northern half of the

region will stay dry. The chance of a tenth of an inch or more

is 10% or less, so this will be light rain, if anything.



There are at least a few models showing some warm advection 

precipitation over the Quad State next Tuesday, but the

overwhelming majority of guidance and the NBM keep the area dry

for now.



&&



.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/...

Issued at 515 PM CST Tue Dec 30 2025



VFR is expected to continue through the period. Generally light

southwest winds are forecast tonight, with an increase during

the day Wednesday. LLWS remains in the TAF for northern sites

given these lower winds from roughly 03z-09z. 



&&



.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

IL...None.

MO...None.

IN...None.

KY...None.



&&



$$



DISCUSSION...DRS

AVIATION...AD