782 

FXUS63 KPAH 301959

AFDPAH



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Paducah KY

159 PM CST Tue Dec 30 2025



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Temperatures will continue to slowly moderate. Highs will

  generally be in the 40s through the weekend, with lows ranging

  from 25 to 35 degrees.



- The only chance of rain in the next 7 to 10 days will be a

  10-30% chance over the southern half of the Quad State Friday

  afternoon and evening. There is a 10% or less chance of a

  tenth of an inch of rainfall, so it will be some light rain,

  if anything.



&&



.DISCUSSION...

Issued at 159 PM CST Tue Dec 30 2025



The forecast has trended a bit cooler through the week.

Temperatures will warm into the 40s, but remain below normal on

Wednesday. A weak cold front will pass southward through the 

area late Wednesday night into early Thursday, and that will 

keep temperatures similar to Wednesday. Temperatures may climb 

to normal or slightly above on Friday, but with clouds and some 

light precipitation possible, the NBM may be overdone with lower

50s in the south. Behind the Friday system, there will be a 

reinforcing shot of cooler air holding temperatures below normal

on Saturday. For Sunday, and especially heading into next week,

increasing heights aloft and low-level warm advection will 

finally lead to a nice warming trend to above normal levels

Sunday and Monday.



The lone chance of rain in the forecast has shifted south and

now may completely pass by to the south of the Quad State. The

ensembles indicate a 10-30% chance of rain with the best chance

right along the Tennessee border. The northern half of the

region will stay dry. The chance of a tenth of an inch or more

is 10% or less, so this will be light rain, if anything.



There are at least a few models showing some warm advection 

precipitation over the Quad State next Tuesday, but the

overwhelming majority of guidance and the NBM keep the area dry

for now.



&&



.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...

Issued at 1126 AM CST Tue Dec 30 2025



The TAFs are VFR. Winds will be at or below 10kts generally from

the west this afternoon and again with mixing in the morning. 

Tonight a light southwest wind is expected and that could lead 

to a LLWS concern across the northern sites in the 03Z-09Z time 

frame.



&&



.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

IL...None.

MO...None.

IN...None.

KY...None.



&&



$$



DISCUSSION...DRS

AVIATION...DRS