729 FXUS64 KOUN 292326 AFDOUN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Norman OK 626 PM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 623 PM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026 - Hot and breezy conditions to continue this week. - Very low chances for thunderstorms across far western Oklahoma during the evening hours today & Tuesday; strong-damaging winds possible. - Early signs for upcoming holiday weekend: Continued hot temperatures and low chances for rain/storms (north/west Oklahoma). && .NEAR TERM... (Rest of today and tonight) Issued at 200 PM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026 The hot, windy and very low storm risk (far western Oklahoma) pattern continues as we begin a new work week. Afternoon heat indices will again peak in the 100-105 F range today, though spatiotemporal extent of headline-worthy readings is expected to remain limited, and confined to far northern Oklahoma. Breezy south-southwesterly winds will also aid in keeping WBGT risk in check (low-moderate category) through sunset. While storm activity the past few evenings has remained quite limited, and confined strictly to the Texas Panhandle, we look to introduce slightly higher (still ~20%) chances for storms near the 100th meridian later this evening. Strong-damaging wind gusts will be possible, especially if deeper thunderstorm cores can develop/persist near the Texas Panhandle/Oklahoma border. Ungar && .SHORT TERM... (Tuesday through Wednesday night) Issued at 200 PM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026 Our hot and breezy weather pattern will persist for much of the upcoming week, as the region remains placed between an upper ridge across the Tennessee Valley and slowly-dissipating upper trough across the Intermountain West. Seasonable (mid to upper-90s) temperatures and continued breezy conditions will offer generally sub-105 F heat indices/low-moderate WBGT risk on Tuesday and Wednesday. Perhaps the most concerning aspect of early week heat will be continued warm temperatures during the nighttime hours, with potential for record "warm lows", especially in Oklahoma on Wednesday morning. Diurnal convective chances will persist near and east of a thermal ridge/weak dryline feature from far western Oklahoma into the Texas Panhandle. Most areas will remain dry, though some residual storms/strong wind potential may approach our area each evening near and after sunset. Ungar && .LONG TERM... (Thursday through Sunday) Issued at 157 AM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026 High temperatures trend upward Thursday through Saturday as mid-level heights rise with the expansion of the ridge across the southern two- thirds of the country. Highs of 100 to 105 degrees are forecast to be widespread by July 4th with low chances of showers and thunderstorms returning late Friday and into the weekend. A cold front could move into northern Oklahoma late Saturday or early Sunday which will dial down the intensity of the heat just a bit on Sunday. Thompson && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 625 PM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026 VFR conditions are expected to continue through the TAF period. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms in the Texas panhandle will approach western Oklahoma this evening. However, these thunderstorms will likely dissipate before they impact KWWR and KCSM. Otherwise, breezy southerly winds will continue with a slight decrease in wind gusts this evening. A strengthening low-level jet will result in low-level wind shear (LLWS). Mahale && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Oklahoma City OK 77 94 76 95 / 0 0 0 0 Hobart OK 77 96 75 96 / 0 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 76 97 75 97 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 79 96 76 96 / 30 20 20 0 Ponca City OK 78 93 76 94 / 0 0 0 0 Durant OK 77 94 78 95 / 0 0 0 0 && .OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. TX...None. && $$ NEAR TERM...09 SHORT TERM...09 LONG TERM....01 AVIATION...10