285 FXUS64 KOUN 310617 AFDOUN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Norman OK 1217 AM CST Wed Dec 31 2025 ...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1155 PM CST Tue Dec 30 2025 - Above normal temperatures and dry conditions expected midweek though the weekend. && .NEAR TERM... (Rest of tonight through Wednesday) Issued at 1155 PM CST Tue Dec 30 2025 Fairly tranquil weather is expected today with light northwest winds this morning becoming southwest by this afternoon. Downslope flow and warming mid-level temperatures will help boost highs several more degrees compared to yesterday, into the upper 50s to mid 60s. Lows tonight will then drop to the upper 20s to middle 30s under mainly clear skies. Ware && .SHORT TERM... (Wednesday night through Thursday night) Issued at 1155 PM CST Tue Dec 30 2025 A surface low will begin to deepen across the panhandles on Thursday as a shortwave trough traverses the central Rockies. Expect a north-south gradient in high temperatures Thursday afternoon as a pseudo warm front begins to develop across the area, but there is some uncertainty on exactly how warm temperatures will be as model spread remains about 10 degrees in most locations between the NBM25th-NBM75th percentiles. For now we have mid 50s forecast across northern Oklahoma to mid 60s along and south of the Red River. The surface low will track eastward in the vicinity of the Red River Thursday night into Friday, shifting winds to northerly, though not much airmass change is expected with highs Friday expected to be similar to Thursday. No precipitation is expected with this system. Ware && .LONG TERM... (Friday through next Tuesday) Issued at 1155 PM CST Tue Dec 30 2025 Upper ridging will build over the central US this weekend, with rising heights and warming mid-level temperatures leading to the return of well above normal temperatures. Highs Sunday and Monday are forecast to range from the mid 60s to near 80 degrees. The general longwave pattern is highly likely to persist into next week, meaning above normal temperatures and dry conditions are favored to continue for the next 7-10 days. Ware && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 903 PM CST Tue Dec 30 2025 VFR conditions are anticipated through the period at all sites with a weak surface front veering southwest winds to the northwest overnight from north to south. Winds will continue to remain light and return to the southwest by the late morning to early afternoon hours tomorrow. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Oklahoma City OK 56 32 61 35 / 0 0 0 0 Hobart OK 58 27 62 31 / 0 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 58 30 63 34 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 59 25 62 27 / 0 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 54 26 58 30 / 0 0 0 0 Durant OK 51 33 62 37 / 0 0 0 0 && .OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. TX...None. && $$ NEAR TERM...08 SHORT TERM...08 LONG TERM....08 AVIATION...23