774 FXUS64 KOHX 281703 AFDOHX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 1103 AM CST Sat Feb 28 2026 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1103 AM CST Sat Feb 28 2026 - Spring-like weekend with dry and mild conditions. - Low to medium rain chances with mild temperatures throughout next week. && .SHORT TERM... (Rest of today through Sunday) Issued at 1103 AM CST Sat Feb 28 2026 Satellite showing some higher clouds to our NW that may move in later today, however, that won't impede with the fantastic weather we are experiencing! Mostly sunny skies right now, with temperatures in the 50s and 60s. Still looking to get into the 70s today, but southwest winds will need time to bring in that moisture and warmer air into this afternoon. With the moisture from the SW advecting into the area, that will begin to introduce clouds overnight tonight, with lows only dipping into the mid and upper 40s. Sunday will bring about a pattern change to more moist weather. In the morning, a dry cold front will push through the region, lowering our highs to the 60s Sunday afternoon. The cold front will stall to our south, providing some forcing for rain in the next week. && .LONG TERM... (Sunday Night through next Saturday) Issued at 1103 AM CST Sat Feb 28 2026 As this stationary front waffles back and forth over the mid-south, we can expect some light rain Monday. By light rain, I mean less than a quarter of an inch of rain through Monday night, and mainly north of I-40. Areas south of the interstate will see a few drops or nothing at all. Tuesday, as the front lifts into the Great Lakes region and some upper level ridging sets in, we will see a reprieve from the precipitation. Mid-week and end of the week, rain will return with some help from a few shortwaves ahead of a bigger trough. PWATs are anomalously high, and we will have to monitor how much rain is received and where for flash flooding. However, QPF amounts look to be around 1-2" in the guidance currently, with a 20- 30% chance of exceeding an inch of precipitation in areas along and north of US-79. With all of these systems, we are not expecting severe weather at this time. As for temperatures, spring-like temperatures are here to stay for the forecast period, getting into the low to mid 70s by mid-week next week. As we get into the end of next week, temperatures look to rise even more into the upper 70s and possibly low 80s. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 428 AM CST Sat Feb 28 2026 High pressure remains the dominant weather feature keeping tafs VFR. Under gradually increasing cirrus clouds, winds will be light, mainly SSW through the next 24 hours. Around 01/12Z (daybreak Sunday morning), a cold front will drop into the area with winds becoming N 5-10KT at CKV/BNA/MQY. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 74 50 66 44 / 0 10 0 30 Clarksville 73 45 60 40 / 10 10 0 50 Crossville 67 47 65 42 / 0 0 0 20 Columbia 74 48 68 45 / 0 0 0 20 Cookeville 68 47 63 43 / 0 10 0 30 Jamestown 67 45 61 39 / 0 10 0 30 Lawrenceburg 73 48 68 45 / 0 0 0 20 Murfreesboro 73 47 67 45 / 0 10 0 30 Waverly 73 48 62 44 / 0 10 10 40 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Holley LONG TERM....Holley AVIATION.....13