363 FXUS63 KMPX 302342 AFDMPX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 542 PM CST Tue Dec 30 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Another clipper system brings another period of light snow accumulations Wednesday. - Areas of freezing drizzle tonight mainly across southern MN to include the I-90 corridor. - Brief cold start to the New Year, with sub-zero morning lows and highs in the single digits. Temperatures modify back into the 20s next weekend. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 309 PM CST Tue Dec 30 2025 Temperatures currently range in the mid-30s across western Minnesota to the mid-20s in central Minnesota, then the teens in western Wisconsin. Satellite shows much of the upper plains blanketed under another stratus deck which should help overnight lows fall only to the 20s for most. As for precip activity, most sites this afternoon should now be snowfall free except for those east of the I-35 corridor and into Wisconsin. A few blips of scattered mixed precipitation redeveloping in west-central MN thanks to a stationary boundary that producing just enough lift to squeeze out some moisture. The main concern as we move into tonight will be the potential for freezing drizzle. Forecast soundings have favored plenty of saturation beneath a dried out DGZ aloft. With temperatures hovering a degree or two around freezing combined with ample surface moisture, light freezing drizzle could occur for a few hours overnight especially across southern MN. Therefore ice accumulations up to a light glaze could potentially make for a slippery commute on untreated surfaces. Wednesday's forecast will be very similar to what we saw today. Early tomorrow morning, another clipper with an associated cold front will makes its way southeast across the Dakotas. Light snow can be expected to begin falling in central Minnesota as early as 5- 7AM, the Twin Cities Metro between 6-8AM, and then western Wisconsin between 7-9AM. Snowfall accumulations will range less than one inch but could make for slippery conditions. Snow should taper off during the late morning to early afternoon hours. Forecast soundings show that the surface layer does dry out enough to where the threat of lingering freezing drizzle is much less of a concern. 2025 is expected to depart with a "cold shoulder", as temperatures will fall to or a few degrees below zero with wind chills reaching teens below zero. Another clipper looks possible on New Years Day (Thursday). Although the current track has any precipitation staying within the confines of northeastern MN into northern Wisconsin keeping us dry. Most of us will remain mostly cloudy however a few lucky ones may get to see some partial sunshine in southern MN. Highs will mainly be in the teens for the first day of 2026. Friday and Saturday, more sunshine looks to return to the forecast as a gradual warm-up begins into early next week. Another system does look to potentially brush northeastern MN but once again, but only appears to provide light snowfall impacts up in that region for now. Highs going into next week will range in the 20s and lows in the teens. && .AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/... Issued at 527 PM CST Tue Dec 30 2025 Light snow has been tracking across western Wisconsin this evening and should wrap up by the start of this TAF period. There have been some IFR ceilings across W MN & W WI that should gradually improve to MVFR by daybreak. Another clipper will move in around 12Z Wednesday and should provide another round of light snow. Exact timing of the worst impacts remains a touch uncertain, so opted for a mix of prevailing groups & PROB30s that we will refine in with the 06z TAFs. MVFR most likely with this snow but periods of IFR vsby as well. Main difference for Wednesday morning's event is that the snow will track a little farther south and be more impactful for STC, MSP, and MKT. MVFR cigs will begin to scatter out at the end of the period from north to south. Winds remain NW with speeds generally around 10 knots with sporadic gusts in the 18-20kt range. KMSP... MVFR continues through Wednesday afternoon with another round of snow Wednesday morning. /OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ THU...VFR. Wind SW 5-10kts. FRI...VFR. Wind NW 5-10kts. SAT...VFR. Wind S 5-15kts. && .MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MN...None. WI...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Dunleavy AVIATION...BPH