756 FXUS64 KMOB 291749 AFDMOB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 1249 PM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1241 PM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026 - Summertime heat continues through this week with heat indices as high as 103 to 107 any given day. Heat indices may approach heat advisory criteria around 108 Tuesday for most locations. - Showers and thunderstorms return to the forecast Tuesday through late week. A strong to severe thunderstorm or two can't be ruled out each afternoon. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1204 AM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026 Surface and upper level ridging will continue to dominate the area today. This will maintain the dry and hot conditions. An isolated shower or storm cannot be completely ruled out this afternoon, however most areas will remain dry. Subsidence under the ridge will also lead to continued hot conditions with highs in the low to mid 90s. Some areas could reach the upper 90s. Heat index values will continue to flirt with heat advisory criteria each afternoon, however most areas will remain in the 103 to 107 range. The upper ridge will move north of the area Tuesday into Wednesday, placing the area in an easterly flow regime. Increased deep layer moisture combined with shortwaves moving through the easterly flow will bring higher rain chances to the area on Tuesday with scattered to locally numerous showers and thunderstorms. Best chances will remain east of the I-65 corridor. Storms on Tuesday may also have the chance to become strong to severe, with primary hazards being gusty to locally damaging winds in addition to heavy rainfall and lightning. For the remainder of the week, we remain generally under deep layer easterly flow with the ridge centered just north of us. This will continue to promote isolated to scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms each day while highs continue to top out in the lower to middle 90s. Overnight lows stay warm throughout the forecast period in the lower to middle 70s. A Low risk of rip currents continues through this week. /13 && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1241 PM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026 VFR conditions prevail through the TAF cycle. Winds at the terminals will turn southwesterly and increase to around 10 knots this afternoon as the sea breeze slides inland. Winds will become light and variable overnight. 07/mb && .MARINE... Issued at 231 AM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026 A light diurnal flow pattern will be in place through the week, with light onshore flow expected during the afternoon hours, becoming a light offshore flow each night. Expect higher winds and seas in and around thunderstorms, with storm chances increasing on Tuesday afternoon. /98 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Mobile 75 95 76 94 / 0 40 40 50 Pensacola 79 95 79 93 / 0 50 40 30 Destin 80 93 79 92 / 0 40 30 20 Evergreen 75 95 75 94 / 0 50 20 20 Waynesboro 75 96 75 95 / 0 30 20 40 Camden 75 95 75 92 / 0 30 10 20 Crestview 76 96 76 95 / 0 50 20 30 && .MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None. && $$