091 FXUS64 KMOB 300537 AFDMOB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 1137 PM CST Mon Dec 29 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1135 PM CST Mon Dec 29 2025 - A Cold Weather Advisory is in effect from midnight tonight to 9 AM CST Tuesday as wind chills fall into the teens to lower 20s. - A Cold Weather Advisory is now in effect from midnight Tuesday to 9 AM CST Wednesday over areas along I-10 as wind chills again fall into the 20 to 25 degree range. - Strong winds over the marine area will create hazardous conditions for small craft through mid week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1135 PM CST Mon Dec 29 2025 Now through Monday... Through the rest of the week, shortwave energy moves through a mean upper trough over the eastern Conus, with a weak reinforcing front moving south over the Southeast Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Cooler, drier air continues to move south over the Southeast as surface high pressure pushes east over the Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi River Valley. This surface high passes south of land portions of the forecast area Thursday into Thursday night, restoring onshore flow by Friday. An upper level shortwave trough passes over the Southeast Friday night into Saturday, bringing another round of showers and thunderstorms to the area as a weakly organized surface low moves over the Southeast. Current guidance is indicating modest instability and upper support, leading to a low chance of rowdy storms. Behind the system, modest northerly flow ushers in a drier and some what cooler airmass over the region for Sunday into the coming week. Looking closer to temperatures, high temperatures Tuesday are expected to range from the mid 40s to around 50. From there, they slowly warm into the mid 60s to around 70 for Saturday, with a small drop for Sunday. Low temperatures in the mid 20s north of Highway 84 to low 30s along and south of I-10 expected tonight and Tuesday nights, with wind chills tonight in the 15 to low 20s. Tuesday night, with a decrease in winds, windchills bottoming out in the low to mid 20s are expected. From there, low temperatures climb into the 50s forecast area wide by Friday night. Offshore flow will keep the Rip Risk Low through the week. An uptick to Moderate is expected Friday night into Saturday as a passing system brings increased onshore flow. /16 && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1135 PM CST Mon Dec 29 2025 VFR under northwest to north winds of 10 to 15 knots expected through the forecast. /16 && .MARINE... Issued at 1135 PM CST Mon Dec 29 2025 Strong offshore flow will slowly ease mid week, then shift to onshore for the coming weekend. /16 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Mobile 29 50 27 56 / 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 32 50 32 55 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 33 51 33 55 / 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 26 48 25 57 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 26 47 25 56 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 25 44 25 53 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 27 50 25 56 / 0 0 0 0 && .MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...Cold Weather Advisory until 9 AM CST Tuesday for ALZ051>060- 261>266. Cold Weather Advisory from midnight Tuesday night to 9 AM CST Wednesday for ALZ263>266. FL...Cold Weather Advisory until 9 AM CST Tuesday for FLZ201>206. Cold Weather Advisory from midnight Tuesday night to 9 AM CST Wednesday for FLZ201>206. MS...Cold Weather Advisory until 9 AM CST Tuesday for MSZ067-075-076- 078-079. GM...Small Craft Advisory until noon CST Tuesday for GMZ630>636. Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM CST Wednesday for GMZ650-655-670- 675. && $$