945 

FXUS65 KLKN 291947

AFDLKN



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Elko NV

1247 PM PDT Mon Jun 29 2026



.KEY MESSAGES...

 

* Dry this afternoon with high temperatures in the 70s



* Showers and thunderstorms Wednesday in Elko county 



* Temperatures trend warmer through the week



&&





.DISCUSSION...

(This evening through next Monday)



WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Current conditions across the area are 

sunny and calm, with satellite imagery showing only a few high 

clouds across northern Nevada. Persistent ridging over the eastern

US will slow the retreat of the trough over the West but a slow 

warming trend is still expected, with highs in the 70s today 

increasing to the 80s by Friday. Conditions will mostly remain dry

during this time, although a weak low center riding the trough on

Wednesday could spark some isolated showers and thunderstorms in 

northern Elko county. Winds will mostly be light, with the 

exception of Thursday when breezy conditions develop in central 

Nevada. The high to the east diminishes by the weekend, allowing 

the upper air pattern to progress and ridging to begin to return 

to the West. This will allow temperatures to spike for the holiday

weekend, with temperatures reaching the mid 90s and some early, 

low confidence, excessive heat indicators developing. Heat is 

expected to continue into next week, with highs in the mid 90s and

breezy conditions returning in central Nevada.





FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High confidence in increasing

temperatures through the weekend, however confidence in excessive

heat potential Saturday and Sunday is low. Low confidence in

shower and thunder potential on Wednesday, and moderate confidence

in quiet conditions for the rest of the forecast. No changes were

made to base NBM output.



&&





.AVIATION...VFR conditions and winds less than 10KT at all sites

today.



&&





.FIRE WEATHER...Low fire weather conditions are expected today and

tomorrow due to humidity around 20% in northern Nevada and light

winds across the area. Conditions dry out starting Wednesday, in

connection with a warming trend. Elevated conditions are expected

for Thursday due to wind gusts 20-25 mph, with about a 20% chance

of winds increasing to above critical thresholds. Winds die down

again Friday through Sunday as temperatures continue to warm.



&&





.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...

None.

&&



$$



DISCUSSION...94

AVIATION...94

FIRE WEATHER...94