183 FXUS65 KLKN 282334 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 334 PM PST Sat Feb 28 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... 101 PM PST Sat Feb 28 2026 * Unseasonably warm through Sunday * Periods of mountain snow showers and valley rain showers through Monday night * Colder storm system expected to arrive mid-week && .UPDATE... Issued at 332 PM PST Sat Feb 28 2026 Radar trends have been depicting an uptick in the thunderstorm activity over the past hour or so. As a result, the weather grids for the near term has been updated to expand coverage of isolated thunderstorms to include the northern half of Humboldt and a portion of northwestern Elko counties. All text products and grids have been sent. && .DISCUSSION... (This afternoon through next Saturday) WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Current satellite loop this afternoon is showing an upper ridge circulation across northwest Mexico. Southwest flow is being observed over northern and central Nevada at this time. Virga is noted though isolated and very light precipitation has been recorded across portions of Humboldt county at this time. For tonight, expect clouds to continue over the area with light rain showers over mainly the northern half of the forecast area. An isolated rumble of thunder is possible across portions of northern Humboldt county during the early evening. Low temperatures will be in the 30s and 40s with light winds. For Sunday, the upper ridge axis will shift east during the early morning hours with a weak upper trough entering the scene from the west. Rain showers are expected to be limited to the north during the morning but will spread south and east during the late morning and afternoon. Winds will be breezy but gusts will be limited to 20 mph across the area. Highs will remain above normal levels with readings in the 60s. A few afternoon breezes to 20 mph will be possible in central Nevada. Look for an expansion of shower activity to the US Highway 50 corridor Sunday night. Snow levels will remain at or above 7000 feet across the region with overnight lows generally in the 30s. By Monday, the upper level low is expected to open while continuing its forward progression eastward, making its way out of the area late Monday night into Tuesday. Look for a lowering of heights with corresponding cooling of high temperatures in the 40s and 50s across northern and central Nevada. The best chances for accumulating precipitation will be on Monday. Snow levels will remain high during the day so valley locations will see mainly rain showers. Winds will be on the light side. The upper low is expected to exit Monday evening and night with any precipitation diminishing west to east during this time. Lows will be in the 20s, though some of the colder locales could see the teens if skies clear faster than forecast. A brief break in the weather is expected Tuesday as a transitory ridge axis builds across, then heads east, of northern and central Nevada. Look for quiet weather Tuesday with highs in the 50s and 60s with light winds. Overnight lows will be in the 20s and 30s. Another storm system is expected to transit the area Wednesday and Thursday. Highs on Wednesday will be above normal with readings in the 50s and 60s but cooling is expected Thursday with highs dropping to near normal levels in the 40s. Overnight lows will be in the 20s and 30s both nights. Northerly flow is expected to develop Friday with near normal temperatures. FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: Confidence in the short term forecast remains high with respect to the unseasonably warm weather through tomorrow. Confidence remains high due to periods of mountain snow and valley rain showers occurring through Monday night. Moderate forecast confidence regarding much cooler weather Monday. Low forecast confidence holds with a colder storm system Wednesday and Thursday. No deviations were made to the NBM at this time. && .AVIATION...Look for VFR conditions through the next 24 hours. VCSH and/or a sprinkle expected across the northern TAF sites KWMC-KBAM-KEKO-KENV but these are not expected to limit VSBY/CIGS to below VFR. Winds will remain light with a few breezes. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...86 AVIATION...86