341 FXUS65 KLKN 301835 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 1035 AM PST Tue Dec 30 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1014 AM PST Tue Dec 30 2025 * Warming trend is expected to continue through Friday with cooler temperatures returning over the weekend * Winds will generally remain light through the week * Precipitation chances return late New Years Eve, followed by a small break, then again through the weekend && .DISCUSSION... (This afternoon through next Tuesday) WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Upper ridging has strengthened and situated over the western U.S., keeping quiet weather conditions over Nevada until the mid-week. Temperatures expected to gradually warm through the week with temperatures reaching back into the 40s and 50s. Low temperatures are also expected to gradually warm as well into the 30s. Winds will generally remain light and variable through the week. By mid-week, the first of two low pressure troughs is expected to push north from Baja California into Nevada late New Years Eve. This system will bring in some tropical moisture from the south, extending north into northern Nevada by New Years Day. Chances of precipitation will increase up to 50-80% across the region with valleys potentially seeing up to 0.05-0.15 inches of rain. Due to warmer temperatures, much of the precipitation will fall as rain as snow levels will hover around 8500 feet, keeping snow on mountain tops. Winds expected to stay light from the south. This will be followed by a small break in weather Thursday night through Friday morning. By Friday evening, the second of two low pressure troughs will enter the southwest from the Pacific coast. This system will also bring in some tropical moisture, but not as much as the the previous one. Much of the precipitation will be mainly along parts of US-50 corridor and throughout northern Nevada, with chances up to 30-60%. Central Nevada, mainly along US-50 corridor, could see up to 0.05 inches of rain, while northern Nevada could see up to 0.05-0.1 inches, with higher elevations up to 0.1 to 0.2 inches. This system will also bring in cooler temperatures, dropping highs into the 40s by Sunday with lows down into the 20s, however there is low confidence of valley snow as the warmer than normal temperatures will keep snow levels between 6500-7500 feet. Much of the mountain tops may see up to 0.5 inches of snow, while Ruby Mountains could see up to 4 inches. Winds with this system expected to elevate Friday evening into Saturday morning, then taper off by Saturday evening. FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High confidence of warmer temperatures through the week. High confidence of tropical system from the south moving into Nevada mid-week. Moderate confidence of a second system moving over Nevada over the weekend. Moderate confidence of cooler temperatures over the weekend. Low confidence of valley snow during the next two weather systems. && .AVIATION... Look for VFR conditions at all terminals over the next 24 hour period along with light and variable winds below 10 kts. Sky conditions will be mainly clear with some clouds moving in during the afternoon but mainly stay at FL250. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...97 AVIATION...97