045 FXUS64 KLCH 281115 AFDLCH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 515 AM CST Sat Feb 28 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Patchy fog possible in the morning -Warm and humid conditions will prevail through the end of next week - Modest rain chances return by the middle of next week && .SHORT TERM... (Today through Monday night) Issued at 1200 AM CST Sat Feb 28 2026 The cold front is now offshore, and dew points have fallen into the 50s area-wide. As the front moves farther offshore, building high pressure on the East Coast will cause our winds to become southerly again. This will keep our conditions warm and humid with late spring-like conditions for the next few days. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday through Saturday) Issued at 1200 AM CST Sat Feb 28 2026 The first half of the long-term forecast will bring more hot and humid weather, with temperatures 5 to 10 degrees above normal for this time of year. Around mid-week, a front will stall across north Louisiana and Arkansas. This feature will pull moisture north and provide broad instability, leading to the potential for multiple days of overcast skies and rainfall. By mid-week, PWATs will start to increase into the 90th percentile, and by the end of the week, they will be pushing near the 99th percentile. Given the persistent ongoing drought, the rainfall will be welcome, but we will need to keep a close eye on the possibility of excessive rainfall or flash flooding. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 513 AM CST Sat Feb 28 2026 Areas of fog ongoing across south-central LA will continue to affect ARA and possible LFT through the next few hours. Otherwise, fog has largely failed to become an issue tonight thanks to a bit of drier air. Rest of the day will be merely a wind forecast, as ongoing ENE/E winds begin to shift SE to S through the afternoon. Tonight, winds go calm, and with a bit more moisture return today areas of fog will be possible as we near midnight through sunrise tomorrow. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AEX 80 52 81 52 / 0 0 0 0 LCH 79 55 78 58 / 0 0 0 0 LFT 80 55 80 56 / 0 0 0 0 BPT 79 57 78 57 / 0 0 0 0 && .LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... LA...None. TX...None. GM...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CST this morning for GMZ430-432- 450-452. && $$ SHORT TERM...14 LONG TERM....14 AVIATION...17