766 FXUS61 KILN 282350 AFDILN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington OH 650 PM EST Sat Feb 28 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Decreased snow in the forecast for tonight. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Some wintry precipitation expected overnight Saturday night and Sunday night into Monday morning. 2) Warmer and wetter conditions expected from Tuesday through the rest of the week. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1) Some wintry precipitation expected overnight Saturday night and Sunday night into Monday morning. A system will move through overnight. Most of the precipitation is expected to be rain, however cannot rule out snow or a very brief period of freezing rain near and north of Interstate 70. Another system will bring precipitation Sunday night into Monday. Will have to watch closely the timing on this. There has been quite a bit of variability on how much precipitation will occur with this. There are some concerns with the timing, if it is heavy enough, that snow Monday morning could impact the commute near and south of the Ohio River. Hi-res models are a lot more robust with feature. Will increase wording in HWO for parts of the area. KEY MESSAGE 2) Warmer and wetter conditions expected from Tuesday through the rest of the week. A shift to warmer and wetter conditions will occur Tuesday through the week. Flooding looks to be likely with this pattern as repeated rounds of rain are expected to move across the region. There are some signals for potential severe weather on some of the days as well and therefore will have to monitor trends to narrow down this potential as well. Will highlights these threats in the HWO. Temperatures will be well above normal next week during this time. && .AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... VFR conditions are expected to start the period with a light northeasterly flow developing. A weak disturbance will bring scattered showers to most of the region late this evening through a little past midnight. Visibility and cloud bases should remain VFR during this time. Later tonight, a southward-moving MVFR stratocumulus deck will begin to affect DAY and CMH/LCK, eventually moving south to ILN. Have less confidence in these clouds holding together all the way to the Cincinnati area terminals with LAMP probabilities of MVFR ceilings there below 50%. This deck will begin to scatter out from midday into the early afternoon. Northeasterly gradient will tighten a bit Sunday morning with occasional gusts to near 20 knots through the afternoon. OUTLOOK...Periods of MVFR/IFR conditions are possible Monday through Thursday. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. KY...None. IN...None. && $$ DISCUSSION... AVIATION...