681 

FXUS62 KILM 291017

AFDILM



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Wilmington NC

613 AM EDT Mon Jun 29 2026



.WHAT HAS CHANGED...

All sections have been updated with no significant changes to the 

previous forecast. 



&&



.KEY MESSAGES...

1) Dangerous heat near record levels likely late week. 



2) Very low risk for tropical/subtropical cyclone development off 

the southeast U.S. coast mid week.



&&



.DISCUSSION...

KEY MESSAGE 1...Dangerous heat near record levels likely late 

week.



Strengthening high pressure aloft is expected later this week which 

will bring above normal temperatures near record levels, 

especially for the holiday weekend. Heat Advisories are possible

as early as Thursday but more likely starting Friday for heat 

indices surpassing 105 degrees. Extreme Heat Warnings are also 

not out of the question, mainly for the weekend, if heat indices

reach 110+ degrees. 



Everyone is encouraged to plan ahead for the dangerously hot 

conditions and take proper precautions. Check out our heat page 

(weather.gov/ilm/heat) for the latest heat forecast/safety info.





KEY MESSAGE 2...Very low risk for tropical/subtropical cyclone development

off the southeast U.S. coast mid week. 



An area of low pressure is expected to form along a front off the

southeast United States coast toward mid week, mainly well southeast

of SE NC & NE SC. The NHC is highlighting a low chance for it to

acquire tropical/subtropical characteristics as it likely meanders

for a while before drifting southwest toward the coast. No 

significant direct impacts to SE NC & NE SC are expected at this 

time. 



&&



.AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...

Low CIGs streaming in on northerly flow to affect ILM and in a more 

transient manner LBT through about 13 or 14Z. Otherwise generally 

VFR today with light NE flow. Sea breeze thunderstorms generally 

confined to NC from midday and afternoon could lead to short-lived 

restrictions at ILM. Fog may develop tonight especially should 

rainfall materialize.



06Z Tue thru Fri...Mostly VFR. Low clouds/fog possible late tonight 

and again Tue night. Generally rain-free starting Tue with just low 

chances inland this weekend, especially Sun.



&&



.MARINE...

Monday through Friday... A cold front will move through the 

area today with high pressure from the north prevailing thru mid

week. Weak low pressure could form offshore along the stalling 

cold front well south of the area early this week, with a low 

chance of it becoming tropical/subtropical in nature. The low 

is likely to drift generally SW staying well away from the local

waters later in the week. Wind/waves are not expected to reach 

Small Craft Advisory levels through the period. 



&&



.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

NC...None.

SC...None.

MARINE...None.



&&



$$



WHAT HAS CHANGED...ILM

KEY MESSAGES...RJB

DISCUSSION...RJB

AVIATION...MBB

MARINE...RJB