192 FXUS64 KHUN 281106 AFDHUN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Huntsville AL 506 AM CST Sat Feb 28 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1001 PM CST Fri Feb 27 2026 - Dry conditions continue through the weekend with highs in the 70s. - Low rain chances return Monday as well as late next week. && .NEAR TERM... (Today) Issued at 309 AM CST Sat Feb 28 2026 Tranquil weather across the Tennessee Valley early this morning, with high pressure promoting mostly clear and calm conditions. A couple isolated pockets of fog were noted on satellite imagery. However, given the dry air mass, most locations are devoid of fog. Expect mostly sunny conditions later today, with model soundings showing a dry profile indicative of subsidence from the ridging. Winds will veer to a southerly direction, which combined with the ample sunshine will make for a very warm day to close out the month of February. High temperatures will be able to reach the low to mid 70s in most locations by the mid/late afternoon! && .SHORT TERM... (Saturday night through Monday) Issued at 1001 PM CST Fri Feb 27 2026 The latter half of the weekend will consist of dry conditions and northerly flow as highs rise into the upper 60s to mid 70s once again on Sunday. However, low rain chances (10-20%) return Sunday night into Monday as a weak shortwave shifts north of the area. Trends have continued to decrease rain chances early next week as the upper level shortwave continued to move northward with each forecast run. Therefore, confidence is low in these rain chances but have stuck with blended guidance for now. Another relatively warm day is in store on Monday as highs reach the upper 60s to lower 70s. However, with increased cloud cover and breezy winds up to 15 mph, the afternoon will likely feel a bit cooler. && .LONG TERM... (Monday night through Friday) Issued at 1001 PM CST Fri Feb 27 2026 Upper ridging will gradually spread east through the work week which will keep us in a warm sectored airmass through the long term period. While models are in fairly good agreement about the large scale synoptic pattern, details about embedded waves/disturbances are a bit more uncertain at this range. A front is forecast to stall just north of the region late Monday into Tuesday which would favor a drier forecast pattern, but small shifts in the pattern could drive our currently low chance PoPs upward if the ridge is suppressed farther south than currently indicated. Temps will warm from the lower 70s to near 80 degrees by Friday with low chances for rain and thunderstorms beginning Wednesday and stretching through the remainder of the week. While confidence remains low regarding when and how much thunderstorm activity we will see next week, the pattern will start to favor more active weather as we head into the weekend. Be sure to stay tuned for forecast updates especially if you have plans late next week! && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 506 AM CST Sat Feb 28 2026 VFR conditions will prevail at both terminals through the period with light winds and a mostly clear sky. && .CLIMATE... Issued at 310 PM CST Fri Feb 27 2026 The Climate Prediction Center has included northwestern and north-central Alabama, and southern Middle Tennessee in a Moderate Risk for Heavy Precipitation for March 7th through 11th. There is a 40-60% chance for precipitation to reach or exceed 2 to 2.5 inches during this period. The Climate Prediction Center has also included far northwestern Alabama, which includes western portions of Lauderdale and Colbert Counties in a High Risk for Heavy Precipitation for March 7th through 10th. There is a 60-80% chance for precipitation to reach or exceed 2.5 inches during this period. More information on the CPC U.S. Hazards Outlook can be found at: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats.php && .HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. TN...None. && $$ NEAR TERM...AMP SHORT TERM....HC LONG TERM....25 AVIATION...AMP.24