497 

FXUS65 KGGW 281900

AFDGGW



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Glasgow MT

1200 PM MST Sat Feb 28 2026



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Light snow will continue to diminish across the region with

  partial clearing of skies tonight.



- Cold temperatures will linger tonight and early Sunday as an

  Arctic high pressure tracks east downstream of the region.



- Look for moderating temperatures and dry weather over the next

  few days, through at least the middle of the week.



&&



.DISCUSSION...



WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW:



Radar observations are still congested with reflectivity returns

late this morning, but will continue clearing up over the next

several hours. Thus, any lingering flurries and light snow will

come to an end across NE Montana.



Cold temperatures will maintain a grip over the CWA tonight as

Arctic high pressure continues to track east of the region. Most

locations will see lows in the single digits and teens. The

coldest readings will be in the river valleys where recent

snowfall may enhance radiational cooling where partial clearing

takes place.



Upper ridging will begin to build over the Northern Rockies and

Northern High Plains for the first half of the upcoming week,

allowing temperatures to moderate into at least Wednesday. The

large scale subsidence should also allow for mostly dry weather

conditions for the next several days.



Late next week as the ridge flattens and translates east, split

flow will emerge over the western CONUS. Look for flat zonal flow

over the region with high amplitude trough carved out in the 500mb

height pattern to the south. Ensemble consensus begins to decline

at these later time stages but early signs point to gradual

lowering temperatures and increased precipitation chances at these

ranges.



FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS:



NBM was used for the forecast period with the exception of some

near term edit to pops to reflect continuing light intermittent

snow. Otherwise ensembles continue to showcase simply exquisite

consensus into the middle of next week reflecting above average

confidence on a return to mild and likely dry conditions over the

next several days. Beyond the midweek however, confidence

declines, model solutions diverge, and details are less clear. But

early indications suggest a gentle cool down in temperatures with

increased precipitation chances at later time scales.





&&



.AVIATION...



LAST UPDATE: 1845Z



FLIGHT CAT RANGE: MVFR-IFR, returning to VFR.



DISCUSSION: Lingering light snow and stratus may continue to

result in reduced visibility and ceilings at times. Expect snow to

continue diminishing this afternoon with skies partially clearing

overnight. This is expected to eventually lead to a return to VFR

conditions over area terminals. Confidence is below average on

precise timing but do overall expect by this evening into tonight

to see a return to improved flight conditions.





&&



.GGW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

None.

&&



$$



weather.gov/glasgow