894 FXUS64 KFWD 292322 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 622 PM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Seasonably hot weather will continue this week with highs mainly in the mid and upper 90s and peak heat index values near 100 to 105 degrees. - Breezy south winds will continue today with frequent gusts near 30 mph. - Rain chances may return Sunday into Monday. && .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Tuesday) Issued at 1211 PM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026 A seasonably hot, but breezy day across North Central Texas as we remain under southerly low-level flow. Under longwave upper-level ridging, high temperatures today are expected to remain in the upper-90s, with heat indices peaking in the 100-105 degree range. Conditions are expected to stay below advisory criteria thanks to diurnal mixing of a shallow moist layer, keeping surface dewpoints in the upper 60s. As there is substantial lee troughing to our north and west, this has resulted in stronger gradient flow and therefore peak gusts of 30-35 mph throughout the DFW Metroplex, which also kept overnight temperatures rather mild in the upper 70s to low 80s. The thermal low to our north will begin to translate off to the north and east this evening, therefore we can expect southerly winds to decrease to 5-10 mph. While this may allow for more effective radiative cooling and slightly cooler overnight lows in the mid to upper 70s, lighter winds may exacerbate the muggy conditions as dewpoints begin to increase into the low 70s into the evening yielding another uncomfortable night. Tuesday will also feature mostly dry conditions with much calmer southerly winds relative to today. We can expect high temperatures to again remain in the upper-90s with heat indices in the low 100s. Other than the potential for a few low clouds around and shortly after sunrise, can expect mostly clear skies and another seasonably hot day. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday night through next Sunday) Issued at 1211 PM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026 Mid level ridging will prevail through the end of the week resulting in continue hot and dry conditions. While the center of the ridge axis will initially be over the eastern CONUS, this will flatten a bit an reposition back to the southwest by Friday. This should allow temperatures to climb a few degrees to near 100 by Friday and Saturday. Deep boundary layer mixing should continue through the week which will allow dewpoints to fall into the upper 60s each afternoon. This should generally keep us below heat advisory criteria with daily heat indices in the 102-105 degree range. There is a continued signal that a weak upper trough will manage to work southward into the Southern Plains late Saturday into Sunday with some low storm chances expected areawide Sunday afternoon. Increased cloud cover and scattered storms should result in highs several degrees cooler than Saturday. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 615 PM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026 VFR will prevail through most of the period, with perhaps a brief intrusion of MVFR stratus near 2 kft occurring around or just prior to daybreak. This low potential will be handled with a short Tempo group at all TAF sites. Current gusty southerly winds will gradually diminish through the evening, with speeds around 15 kts prevailing overnight into Tuesday. && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 77 97 79 98 / 0 0 0 0 Waco 77 94 76 97 / 0 0 0 0 Paris 75 93 76 95 / 0 0 0 0 Denton 76 96 78 97 / 0 0 0 0 McKinney 77 95 78 97 / 0 0 0 0 Dallas 78 96 79 98 / 0 0 0 0 Terrell 77 95 77 97 / 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 76 94 76 96 / 0 0 0 0 Temple 76 94 75 96 / 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 73 96 74 97 / 0 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Brauer LONG TERM....Dunn AVIATION...Stalley