692 

FXUS63 KFGF 010530

AFDFGF



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Grand Forks ND

1130 PM CST Sat Feb 28 2026



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Warmer than normal temperatures through next week.



- There is the potential for a more active period towards the

  end of next week. Predictability is low at this time for

  impacts.



&&



.DISCUSSION...

Issued at 103 PM CST Sat Feb 28 2026



...Synopsis...



A broad swath of snow continues across the Dakota state line and

is barely scraping past our southern counties at this point in

time. The strongest forcing has all but diminished in our area,

so remaining light snow should generally be a few tenths to an

inch. Impacts will remain minimal as no wind is associated with

this. Snow should come to an end as a 1036mb surface high 

propagates towards us. Moisture content and forcing will

diminish, with cold temperatures being left in its wake this

evening with overnight lows well below zero and approaching -20

where more snowpack exists. Light winds will mitigate widespread

wind chill impacts, however -30 wind chills could arise in the

north if enough wind arises and temperatures fall low enough.

Given these questions, a Cold Weather Advisory was not issued

tonight but may be necessary if impacts become more widespread.



The 500mb jet max begins to push northward away from our area 

Sunday into Monday, allowing height rises to occur and 

temperatures to increase over the region. This will allow 

temperatures to rise up into the 30s and 40s across the region 

with overall high temperatures largely being dependent on 

snowpack status, which is likely to change through each day. As 

such, predictability for high temperatures is low, but you can 

generally expect at least above freezing temperatures at some 

point next week.



Towards the end of the period, there are signals of a breakdown

of the large scale ridge providing our warm temperatures. This

would increase our chances for an active period, however the

evolution of this ridge breakdown will drive our impacts, of

which predictability is low.



&&



.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/...

Issued at 1129 PM CST Sat Feb 28 2026



Well MVFR behaved about as expected the last 6 hours which was

not at all. Thinking the remaining MVFR at GFK clear in the next

few hours but DVL could hang out in MVFR cigs for the next

several hours as stratus continues to build across north 

central ND. Winds becoming southerly between sunrise and noon 

but overall light around 10kts in the afternoon with gusts of 

15-20kts. VFR for all after the morning.



&&



.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

ND...None.

MN...None.



&&



$$



DISCUSSION...Perroux

AVIATION...TT