576 

FXUS63 KFGF 282336

AFDFGF



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Grand Forks ND

536 PM CST Sat Feb 28 2026



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Light snow continues tonight with a trace to couple tenths 

  and minimal travel impacts with light winds.



- Warmer than normal temperatures through next week.



- There is the potential for a more active period towards the

  end of next week. Predictability is low at this time for

  impacts.



&&



.UPDATE...

Issued at 536 PM CST Sat Feb 28 2026



Cant really find a definitive source of forcing for the ongoing

light snow across the area but perhaps simply the passing 

850-500mb wave and some very diffuse warm air advection within 

the saturated DGZ is all that its taking to lead to this 

persistent light snow. Visibility occasionally dropping as low 

as 1 mile but more frequently 2-3sm indicating very little 

impacts with the light winds under the nearing surface high 

pressure preventing much of any blowing or drifting of the 

snow. Not much accumulation expected (T to couple tenths 

perhaps) in the next 6-12 hours as this moves through.



&&



.DISCUSSION...

Issued at 103 PM CST Sat Feb 28 2026



...Synopsis...



A broad swath of snow continues across the Dakota state line and

is barely scraping past our southern counties at this point in

time. The strongest forcing has all but diminished in our area,

so remaining light snow should generally be a few tenths to an

inch. Impacts will remain minimal as no wind is associated with

this. Snow should come to an end as a 1036mb surface high 

propagates towards us. Moisture content and forcing will

diminish, with cold temperatures being left in its wake this

evening with overnight lows well below zero and approaching -20

where more snowpack exists. Light winds will mitigate widespread

wind chill impacts, however -30 wind chills could arise in the

north if enough wind arises and temperatures fall low enough.

Given these questions, a Cold Weather Advisory was not issued

tonight but may be necessary if impacts become more widespread.



The 500mb jet max begins to push northward away from our area 

Sunday into Monday, allowing height rises to occur and 

temperatures to increase over the region. This will allow 

temperatures to rise up into the 30s and 40s across the region 

with overall high temperatures largely being dependent on 

snowpack status, which is likely to change through each day. As 

such, predictability for high temperatures is low, but you can 

generally expect at least above freezing temperatures at some 

point next week.



Towards the end of the period, there are signals of a breakdown

of the large scale ridge providing our warm temperatures. This

would increase our chances for an active period, however the

evolution of this ridge breakdown will drive our impacts, of

which predictability is low.



&&



.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/...

Issued at 536 PM CST Sat Feb 28 2026



While conditions remain primarily VFR this evening some light

snow is continuing with numerous sites reporting a FEW or SCT

deck in the MVFR layer with low confidence in if this becomes a

BKN or OVC layer prior to snow ending. Assuming someone will 

see a MVFR period between now and midnight no real idea on when 

or where so potentially a night of no lead time amendments. 

otherwise winds light and becoming S/SE by sunrise and 5-10kts 

through the day tomorrow.



&&



.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

ND...None.

MN...None.



&&



$$



UPDATE...TT

DISCUSSION...Perroux

AVIATION...TT