905 

FXUS63 KFGF 301041

AFDFGF



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Grand Forks ND

441 AM CST Tue Dec 30 2025



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Light snow this morning could mix with freezing drizzle 

  across portions of the Red River Valley and eastern North 

  Dakota. Travel impacts are possible through late morning.



- Another clipper moves through the area late tonight into

  Wednesday morning. Light snow, as well as blowing snow, are

  possible across parts of eastern North Dakota, central Red

  River Valley, and west central Minnesota. There is a 40

  percent chance for Advisory conditions heading into the

  Wednesday morning commute. 



&&



.DISCUSSION...

Issued at 440 AM CST Tue Dec 30 2025



...Synopsis...



Warm air advection is bringing moisture into the low to mid levels 

this morning, with light snow and light freezing rain possible 

through late this morning. Temperatures climb in response to the WAA 

this morning; however, this surge in temps will be short lived as 

another clipper and cold front brings another round of snow and 

breezy north winds into the area tonight into Wednesday morning. A 

sharp baroclinic zone remains draped across eastern North Dakota and 

northwest Minnesota through the remainder of this week, with Arctic 

air to the northeast and a much warmer air mass to the southwest. 

Shortwaves continue to traverse the flow pattern heading into the 

New Year. Temperatures across southeast North Dakota will be 

potentially much warmer than temps in northwest Minnesota through at 

least Sunday.



...Light Snow and Wintry Mix This Morning...



Cold air remains in place at the surface as warm air moves into the 

region at the 850mb to 700mb levels. Temperature profiles aloft 

support minimal dendrite growth as the morning progresses, with the 

likelihood of a wintry mix or light freezing rain developing as 

sunrise approaches. Much of the moisture, associated with the 

system, will have fallen by that point, however, thus limiting the 

impact potential. 



...Light Snow and Wind Tonight into Wednesday Morning...



A fast moving clipper brings cold air and light snow back into the 

area tonight into Wednesday morning. At this time, there is a 40 

percent chance of Advisory impacts across parts of northeast North 

Dakota, the Red River Valley, and portions of northwest Minnesota. 

Snowfall potential looks to be somewhat low, with a 40 percent 

chance of 2 or more inches of snow. Winds will be a concern, 

however, as sustained north winds of 15-20 mph are possible, with 

gusts up to 30 mph. As such, blowing snow will be possible through 

at least midday Wednesday. The probability for Blizzard conditions 

looks low at this time; however, visibility reductions remain a 

concern for areas that receive new snowfall.



&&



.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/...

Issued at 1142 PM CST Mon Dec 29 2025



No major changes for this set of TAFs. VFR ceilings are still 

anticipated to fall into MVFR and eventually IFR at most

terminals. Snow will begin to fall later tonight, lasting

through a good portion of Tuesday morning, reducing visibility

into IFR territory. A bit of mixed precipitation could mix in,

especially at KDVl and KFAR, but for simplicity left it out of

the TAF at this time, keeping -SN. After snow ends Tuesday

morning/afternoon, ceilings will not really improve. Rather we

will likely see ceilings lower, with freezing drizzle as a 

concern. It is too far out at this time to add into the TAF, but

this will need to be monitored for the next several sets of TAFs that

are issued to see if it needs including.



&&



.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

ND...None.

MN...None.



&&



$$



DISCUSSION...Lynch

AVIATION...Rafferty