452 FXUS62 KFFC 292359 AFDFFC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 759 PM EDT Mon Jun 29 2026 ...New 00Z Aviation Discussion... .KEY MESSAGES... - A Heat Advisory is in effect for portions of east-central Georgia through 8 PM. Another Heat Advisory is in effect for western into central Georgia for Tuesday from 12 PM to 8 PM. - Heat builds through the week, with afternoon highs climbing into the 90s and heat index values over 100 into the weekend. - Chances for afternoon showers and thunderstorms are expected in east Georgia today. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible each afternoon through the week. && .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Tuesday) Issued at 140 PM EDT Mon Jun 29 2026 A ridge continues to spread eastward, increasing temperatures through Georgia. At the surface, high pressure remains the dominant feature through Tuesday. The main concern with these increasing heights is the temperatures and heat indices. Given the amount of moisture return, dewpoints are elevated. This increases the heat indices up to 109 and prompted the need for a Heat Advisory for the majority of Georgia today. The Heat Advisory runs through 8 PM tonight. As for Tuesday, the high pressure migrates eastward and brings in more of a NE surface wind. Given how light the winds are in the axis of the high pressure, not expecting as much relief in dewpoints from the NE winds. Heat indices are expected to be slightly lower than Monday with values in the 104-107. For this reason, a Heat Advisory for western and into central Georgia will be in effect from 12 PM through 8 PM. Additionally, as the high shifts eastward, showers and thunderstorms are possible on the eastern fringe for eastern Georgia locations. Given the location of the surface high, the higher chances (30-40%) are concentrated along the eastern Georgia counties. Conditions in these locations has the better support for instability and DCAPE. Due to the higher DCAPE, isolated microbursts with strong to damaging winds are possible with any thunderstorm that develops. Confidence isn't high enough to warrant mention for the Atlanta metro, but cannot rule out a stray shower. For Tuesday, coverage of showers is a slight chance (25-35%) for the metro with a few more showers and thunderstorms possible (30-50%) for central and western Georgia. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday morning through next Sunday) Issued at 140 PM EDT Mon Jun 29 2026 The upper level high continues to shift northeast of our CWA for the rest of the work week. Long range guidance suggest that the H250 high may become suppressed by the jet stream this Fourth of July weekend and refocus over the southeast CONUS. By early next week, models are still somewhat uncertain whether or not the ridge will break down leading to height falls. High temperatures still look to be above average next week as long as convective activity does not dampen day time heating. Wednesday through Friday, Heat indices look to be slightly lower than the first couple of days this week due to subsidence intrusion from the north lowering dewpoints across much of FA, mainly throughout southern and central Georgia. Heat index values are expected to range from upper 90s to lower 100s throughout the state for these next few days. However, isolated locations may still reach heat index values of 105 degrees. By the Fourth of July weekend, temperatures are forecast to increase once again due to the high pressure center likely shifting back over Georgia. Heat product issuance seems probable heading towards that time frame, so heat safety precautions will continue to be advised. Thunderstorm chances for the rest of the workweek are focused over our northern zones where mid-level moisture content is higher near the southeast quadrant of the ridge axis. Once the ridge centers back over Georgia this weekend, thunderstorm chance will also increase for much of the CWA. Each day this week, general thunderstorms are still expected with diurnal heating as the main forcing mechanism. Gusty winds and lightning look to be the primary hazards for the coming days. Timing for thunderstorms will be confined to the afternoon and evening hours due to the nature of their convection. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 737 PM EDT Mon Jun 29 2026 A line of showers and thunderstorms moving SW across east central GA. Expecting these storms to move across the MCN airfield in the next 30 min or so. Once these storms move south of the area not expecting any more storms until Tues afternoon. Ceilings will be mainly VFR through the period except in and around any convection. Winds are out of the NW but will turn to the NE to E over night. Wind speeds will stay in the 3-10kt range through the period. //ATL Confidence...00Z Update... Confidence high on all elements. 01 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Athens 76 95 74 95 / 20 10 10 10 Atlanta 79 96 77 95 / 10 20 10 20 Blairsville 71 88 70 88 / 10 40 20 40 Cartersville 77 96 77 96 / 0 20 10 20 Columbus 78 96 75 94 / 10 40 10 10 Gainesville 75 94 74 94 / 10 20 20 10 Macon 77 95 74 94 / 20 20 10 10 Rome 76 96 77 96 / 0 10 10 10 Peachtree City 77 95 75 93 / 10 30 10 20 Vidalia 77 95 73 95 / 30 20 10 0 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Heat Advisory from noon to 8 PM EDT Tuesday for GAZ001>005-011- 012-019-020-025-030>037-041>050-052>061-066>074-078>086-089>098- 102>113. Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for GAZ019>025-027- 030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-089>098-102>113. && $$ SHORT TERM...Patterson LONG TERM....Rangel AVIATION...01