087 FXUS62 KFFC 301909 AFDFFC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA Issued by National Weather Service Birmingham AL 209 PM EST Tue Dec 30 2025 ...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 204 PM EST Tue Dec 30 2025 - Dry, breezy, and chilly conditions can be expected through Wednesday. A Red Flag Warning has been issued areawide this afternoon and early evening due to expected critical fire weather conditions. - Temperatures will moderate to near to slightly above normal values by late week into the weekend. - Showers and thunderstorms will likely return Friday and Saturday. Severe weather is not expected. && .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Wednesday) Issued at 204 PM EST Tue Dec 30 2025 Surface high pressure will drop southward into Texas today while northwest flow remains in place aloft. With a fairly tight pressure gradient still situated across the area, northwest winds will remain elevated through this evening, sustained at least 10-15 mph with gusts over 20-25 mph. These breezy conditions coupled with the very dry airmass continuing to propagate into the state will lead to dangerous fire weather concerns this afternoon and early evening, particularly given the lack of appreciable rainfall with the cold frontal passage yesterday. A Red Flag Warning remains in effect until this evening. Another cold night can be expected tonight with lows at least in the 20s areawide, though the slackening pressure gradient will lead to less frigid apparent temperatures. Persistent northwest flow aloft will continue on Wednesday while the center of the surface high will drop southward into the Gulf by Wednesday afternoon. Temperatures will begin a gradual rebound Wednesday with highs in the low to mid 50s, only slightly below to near normal. Fire danger concerns can again be expected on Wednesday, though lighter winds are likely to preclude additional Red Flag conditions. && .LONG TERM... (Thursday morning through next Monday) Issued at 204 PM EST Tue Dec 30 2025 No changes to the previous long term forecast. Previous discussion: To kick off the long term on Thursday, New Year's Day looks to be a pleasant one, with continued moderation of our presiding dry airmass supporting sunny skies and highs in the mid-50s to lower 60s. Moving into Friday, northwesterly flow aloft trends more quasi- zonal, and a shortwave traversing mid-level flow across the ArkLaMiss will likely support our next round of rain chances -- and our first of the new year. Global model guidance has come into better agreement that a surface low pressure system will sweep across the Southeast, but uncertainty remains regarding strength and timing of the aforementioned system. Regardless, kinematics appear to be subpar at this time, so currently expecting primarily showers and perhaps embedded thunderstorms to spread from west to east beginning Friday afternoon, lingering until clearing occurs to the south and east by late Saturday/very early Sunday. Forecast rainfall totals are currently on the order of half of an inch to an inch areawide, which is beneficial, but unlikely to make wholesale improvements to our ongoing drought conditions. Moving into the latter half of the weekend and into next week, high pressure moves in at the surface in the wake of our rain chances, reinforced by northwesterly flow aloft. As a result, generally dry and tranquil conditions are expected to round out the extended -- with highs in the mid-50s to 60s (and potentially near 70 on Monday). Morning lows will remain solidly in the upper 30s to 40s. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 110 PM EST Tue Dec 30 2025 VFR conditions are forecast to continue through this TAF period. Skies will be clear other than some passing high-level clouds this evening. There will be gusty northwesterly winds today with speeds of 12-15 kts and gusts up to 20-23 kts. Winds should begin to decrease after 00Z and into tomorrow morning. //ATL Confidence...18Z Update... High confidence. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Athens 28 51 35 57 / 0 0 0 0 Atlanta 28 51 35 57 / 0 0 0 0 Blairsville 19 46 27 50 / 0 0 0 0 Cartersville 23 50 29 56 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 27 53 31 60 / 0 0 0 0 Gainesville 28 49 35 55 / 0 0 0 0 Macon 27 54 32 61 / 0 0 0 0 Rome 26 55 32 60 / 0 0 0 0 Peachtree City 25 52 31 58 / 0 0 0 0 Vidalia 30 55 35 61 / 0 0 0 0 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Red Flag Warning until 7 PM EST this evening for GAZ001>009- 011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-089>098- 102>113. && $$ SHORT TERM...RW/JDavis-BMX LONG TERM....96 AVIATION...DMartin-BMX