932 

FXUS63 KDDC 300428

AFDDDC



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Dodge City KS

1028 PM CST Mon Dec 29 2025



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Temperatures on the rebound starting Tuesday with 50s

  returning.



- Mild and dry weather will continue through the week with daily

  highs generally in the upper 50s to lower 60s and lows in the

  20s.



- Fire weather conditions should be very manageable with rather

  light winds much of the week and afternoon relative humidity

  in the 20s to lower 30s percent.



&&



.DISCUSSION...

Issued at 328 PM CST Mon Dec 29 2025



The erosion of our latest cold air mass will begin early tomorrow 

morning as surface winds become westerly downslope component. The 

fairly light winds, clear sky, and low dewpoints in the upper single 

digits (degF) to lower teens will allow temperatures to fall into 

the lower to mid teens most areas, especially farther west and in 

valleys. Once westerly winds pick up toward daybreak, we will likely 

see a rather robust boost in temperature by late morning through the 

40s in the 11 AM to Noon time frame, ultimately topping out in the 

mid 50s. Surface winds will remain fairly light, otherwise we would 

see even warmer temperatures, but regardless, it will be quite the 

pleasant late December day.



The general theme of above normal temperatures and dry conditions 

(no precipitation) will continue through the week. That being said, 

an amplification of the jet stream is likely with a ridge building 

across the western CONUS and a downstream trough across the eastern 

half of the CONUS. This will keep western Kansas in northwest flow 

and also keep the core of any arctic air well displaced from the 

Central Plains, including southwest Kansas, through the week. There 

will be a minor cold front or two pushing across Kansas in this 

pattern, but impacts on sensible weather for western Kansas will be 

minimal. The lack of an appreciable MSLP gradient through much of 

the week will lead to mainly light winds 15 mph or less. The idea of 

a longwave ridge out west and a trough in the east is likely to 

continue through the end of the 7-day period, if not longer, which 

does not favor widespread precipitation.



&&



.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/...

Issued at 1027 PM CST Mon Dec 29 2025



VFR conditions will prevail today with mostly clear skies. Winds

will generally generally be light and from a westerly direction. 



&&



.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

None.



&&



$$



DISCUSSION...Umscheid

AVIATION...Hovorka_42