225 FXUS61 KBTV 302349 AFDBTV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 649 PM EST Tue Dec 30 2025 .SYNOPSIS... Scattered snow showers will continue into tonight, remaining mostly focused in the higher elevations. Our next chance for more widespread snow arrives New Years Eve, with most areas seeing 1 to 2 inches of snow by daybreak New Years Day. Seasonably cold weather continues into the New Year along with occasional chances for mountain snow showers. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... As of 125 PM EST Tuesday...Scattered snow showers will continue through tonight, particularly across the higher terrain. However, westerly to slightly northwesterly flow is keeping lake Ontario moisture to the south so they are on the relatively light side. Unblocked flow and strong winds are keeping the heavier snow showers in the higher terrain and to the east. Temperatures are cold, but sustained winds in the 10-20 mph range are causing wind chills to generally remain in the single digits above and below zero. While temperatures will fall a few degrees tonight, winds will gradually come down a bit so wind chills will likely not drop much. The upslope snow showers will eventually taper off tomorrow morning and dry conditions should persist into the afternoon. Temperatures should rise about ten degrees higher than today, and with lighter winds, it will feel much warmer. && .SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... As of 125 PM EST Tuesday...The brief dry stretch will end as another clipper moves into the region for New Years Eve night. Southwest flow ahead of it will help transport Lake Ontario moisture into the region and enough synoptic forcing will cause some light to moderate snowfall to develop. There could be a few heavier convective snow showers as the front moves through on the backside. Right now, it looks to bring 1-2 inches for most places away from the Canadian border. With relatively quick motion and a lack of significant moisture, any high end amounts would be relatively low. A colder airmass will arrive on the backside of the clipper with temperatures similar to today, but the benefit will be that winds will be much lighter, so wind chills will be higher. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... As of 125 PM EST Tuesday...A stagnant weather pattern will prevail with troughiness over Vermont and northern New York as we initiate 2026. Seasonably cool weather will be favored between intervals of dry weather. Occasional troughs embedded within the cyclonic flow will be able to pull some lake moisture into the region to produce some snow and reinforce cool air in place. So temperatures in the daytime will largely remain in the 20s with nighttime lows in the single digits to teens, and as we approach, we'll monitor whether any clearer patches can allow some radiational cooling. && .AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... Through 00Z Thursday...IFR conditions continue at SLK . An arctic inversion is expected to lower, and MVFR ceilings will be possible through 03z. Continued drying and unblocked flow will eventually cause clouds to scatter. Any lingering snow showers will also end. Sustained northwest winds of 10 to 15 knots, locally higher, and gusts 20 to 30 knots will continue before slowly subsiding overnight. Snow showers are likely to begin lifting back northeastwards into the region beyond 18z Wednesday. Outlook... Wednesday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHSN. New Years Day: VFR. Slight chance SHSN. Thursday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Friday: VFR. Slight chance SHSN. Friday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHSN. Saturday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Sunday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance SHSN. && .MARINE... Sustained winds in the 15-30 kt range are expected to continue into the overnight hours tonight. Waves will stay on the lower side due to the westerly component of the wind, so they are only expected to reach the 1-3 foot range for most places, though approaching 4 ft on the eastern side of the broad lake. Winds will drop to around 10 kt by late tonight night and waves will drop to around and below a foot. && .EQUIPMENT... NOAA Weather Radio station WXM-44, transmitting from Mt. Ascutney, Vermont, on frequency 162.475 MHz is non-operational at this time. NWS technicians have diagnosed the problem, but repairs will likely not be able to occur for quite some time due to circumstances beyond our control. Therefore, the time of return to service is currently unknown. The following NOAA Weather Radio transmitters may be able to provide service during this outage: WWG 50 from Burke Mtn, VT at 162.425 MHz and WNG 546 from Hanover, NH at 162.525 MHz. The Colchester Reef meteorological station is out of service. This site is not serviced by the NWS and there isn't an estimated return to service at present. Use extra caution when navigating the broad waters of Lake Champlain. Please contact us if you observe winds significantly deviating from the recreational forecast. && .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...None. NY...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Myskowski NEAR TERM...Myskowski SHORT TERM...Myskowski LONG TERM...Haynes AVIATION...Haynes/Neiles MARINE...Hastings EQUIPMENT...Team BTV