233 FXUS64 KBRO 281801 AFDBRO Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Brownsville TX 1201 PM CST Sat Feb 28 2026 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1153 AM CST Sat Feb 28 2026 Key Messages - Hot and dry conditions forecast to continue next week. - Fire weather concerns look to increase through the later half of next week. - Adverse marine conditions are possible by mid week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1153 AM CST Sat Feb 28 2026 Upper-level ridging looks to build across Texas going into early next week, continuing to support a pattern of sunny skies, hot temperatures, and generally rain free conditions. Southeasterly winds will likely persist through the period, with light winds overnight becoming breezy each afternoon. An upper-level shortwave traversing the central US mid-week will likely tighten pressure gradients and increase cloud cover Wednesday. Rain chances will increase to around 10% for northern portions of the CWA Wednesday. The combination of gusty winds dry conditions could pose some concern for elevated fire weather next week. 20 ft winds could approach or exceed 15 MPH each afternoon, with greater probabilities through the later half of the week. Minimum relative humidity values will likely range from 30-40% each afternoon. Fire Danger Statements may be needed for portions of the CWA beginning around mid-week. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1153 AM CST Sat Feb 28 2026 VFR conditions are forecast to continue this afternoon, though MVFR conditions will likely return overnight. Clouds will likely continue to lift and clear this afternoon, before MVFR ceilings develop overnight. Southeasterly winds look to continue through the period, with wind speeds around 10-15 kts this afternoon decreasing to 5-10 kts tonight. && .MARINE... Issued at 1153 AM CST Sat Feb 28 2026 Generally favorable marine conditions are forecast to continue early next week. Light to moderate southeasterly winds will likely support slight to moderate seas through Tuesday. Pressure gradients along the Lower Texas Coast look to tighten mid week in response to an upper level shortwave trough. This will likely lead to an increase in wind speeds, especially along the Laguna Madre and nearshore Gulf waters. Adverse marine conditions will be possible through the later half of the week, possibly requiring Small Craft Should Exercise Caution headlines daily Wednesday through Friday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BROWNSVILLE 66 83 66 84 / 0 0 0 0 HARLINGEN 62 86 62 86 / 0 0 0 0 MCALLEN 67 89 66 90 / 0 0 0 0 RIO GRANDE CITY 65 91 63 92 / 0 0 0 0 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 68 76 68 77 / 0 0 0 0 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 64 81 64 82 / 0 0 0 0 && .BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...60-BE LONG TERM....60-BE AVIATION...60-BE