703 FXUS65 KABQ 300707 AFDABQ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 1207 AM MST Tue Dec 30 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1207 AM MST Tue Dec 30 2025 - Patchy freezing fog across the upper Tularosa Valley, including Carrizozo, and lower Pecos River Valley, including Roswell, through mid this morning. - Milder heading into 2026 with rain and mountain peak snow chances for areas along and west of the central mountain chain New Year's Day through mid Friday. - Gusty west and northwest winds across the central highlands and east central NM New Year's Day and Friday could result in some difficult crosswinds on north to south oriented highways for high profile vehicles. && .SHORT TERM... (Today through Wednesday) Issued at 1207 AM MST Tue Dec 30 2025 Low level moisture and near zero dewpoint depressions has resulted in the development of low clouds and patchy freezing fog across the Tularosa Basin, including Carrizozo, overnight. Low clouds and patchy freezing fog development is also expected in the Pecos River Valley, including Roswell and Fort Sumner, early this morning. Low clouds should burn off late this morning. High temperatures today warm back up to near to slightly above average (except slightly below average for Roswell due to the aforementioned low clouds) as upper level ridging moves overhead. The gradual warmup continues as we close out 2025 due to an upper level ridge overhead. Highs on New Year's Eve will be 10 to 15 degrees above average. High clouds will gradually thicken during the day with mid level clouds moving into western NM come the late afternoon and central NM in the last few hours of 2025 ahead of a weakening Pacific upper low ejecting northeast towards southern CA. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday night through Monday) Issued at 1207 AM MST Tue Dec 30 2025 A band of rain and very high mountain peak snow ahead of a weakening Pacific upper low/trough will move across western and central NM during the morning hours of New Year's Day. Precip type will be mainly rain with 700 mb temperatures around 0 to 2 deg C and PWATS rapidly the afternoon increase to 0.6 to 0.7 inches across western and central NM. Snow levels will be around 9,000 to 10,000 feet. More orographically forced precipitation across western and north central NM heading into the first night on 2026 and Friday morning as PWATs lower to 0.4 to 0.5 inches and the dampened trough moves over the Four Corners area. Snow levels will be around 9,000 feet with any snow accumulations across the peaks of the northern mountains being very minimal during this time. Drier northwest flow in the wake of the disturbance Friday afternoon and evening. Areas east of the central mountain chain will be dry New Year's Day and Friday with breezy to gusty west and northwest winds. Max wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph across the central highland and parts of the east central plains. Upper level ridging is favored to move over the state on Saturday before flattening Sunday into Monday. This will result in mild and dry conditions with some breezy winds across the Central Highlands. High temperatures for the beginning of 2026 will generally be 10 to 15 degrees above average for early January. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 942 PM MST Mon Dec 29 2025 VFR conditions with mostly light winds prevail and are forecast to persist through the TAF period, with a couple of exceptions. A gusty northerly drainage wind is forecast to develop overnight at KSAF and continue through the morning hours Tuesday. KROW is forecast to deteriorate overnight to at least IFR, with potential for LIFR conditions in freezing fog early Tuesday morning. KROW is forecast to improve back to VFR during the mid morning hours Tuesday, with VFR conditions then prevailing areawide. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1207 AM MST Tue Dec 30 2025 No critical fire weather conditions expected as we close out 2025 and ring in 2026. Milder and above average temperatures return today continuing through at least early next week. Rain and high mountain snow chances return to areas along and west of the central mountain chain New Year's Day through midday Friday as a weakening system moves across the region. Some patches of elevated fire weather conditions across the central highlands and east central plains due to breezy to gusty west winds ahead of the system Thursday and breezy to gusty northwest winds in the wake of the system Friday. Dry weather areawide this weekend into early next week. Ventilation will be poor outside of good to very good ventilation across the west central, east central, and southeast highlands and plains on Thursday and Friday due to the aforementioned breezy to gusty winds. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Farmington...................... 46 22 49 31 / 0 0 0 30 Dulce........................... 51 16 53 23 / 0 0 0 20 Cuba............................ 50 20 52 29 / 0 0 0 30 Gallup.......................... 52 15 56 29 / 0 0 0 60 El Morro........................ 54 25 57 36 / 0 0 0 60 Grants.......................... 54 17 59 30 / 0 0 0 40 Quemado......................... 55 24 59 36 / 0 0 0 50 Magdalena....................... 50 29 57 40 / 0 0 0 20 Datil........................... 51 27 58 38 / 0 0 0 30 Reserve......................... 60 25 64 35 / 0 0 5 70 Glenwood........................ 62 29 66 38 / 0 0 5 70 Chama........................... 47 20 49 25 / 0 0 0 10 Los Alamos...................... 49 29 53 35 / 0 0 0 10 Pecos........................... 54 26 57 33 / 0 0 0 5 Cerro/Questa.................... 48 27 51 31 / 0 0 0 0 Red River....................... 43 21 46 27 / 0 0 0 0 Angel Fire...................... 49 9 52 21 / 0 0 0 0 Taos............................ 51 15 53 22 / 0 0 0 0 Mora............................ 57 25 60 31 / 0 0 0 0 Espanola........................ 55 20 57 28 / 0 0 0 5 Santa Fe........................ 51 29 54 36 / 0 0 0 10 Santa Fe Airport................ 51 24 55 31 / 0 0 0 10 Albuquerque Foothills........... 51 32 55 40 / 0 0 0 20 Albuquerque Heights............. 52 26 56 36 / 0 0 0 20 Albuquerque Valley.............. 53 23 57 33 / 0 0 0 10 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 53 27 56 36 / 0 0 0 20 Belen........................... 52 18 56 30 / 0 0 0 20 Bernalillo...................... 53 27 57 36 / 0 0 0 20 Bosque Farms.................... 53 19 57 29 / 0 0 0 10 Corrales........................ 54 25 57 34 / 0 0 0 20 Los Lunas....................... 52 21 56 31 / 0 0 0 10 Placitas........................ 51 29 55 38 / 0 0 0 20 Rio Rancho...................... 53 27 56 36 / 0 0 0 20 Socorro......................... 53 25 58 36 / 0 0 0 20 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 49 27 53 35 / 0 0 0 20 Tijeras......................... 49 28 53 36 / 0 0 0 20 Edgewood........................ 51 24 55 32 / 0 0 0 10 Moriarty/Estancia............... 53 17 58 26 / 0 0 0 5 Clines Corners.................. 50 24 53 33 / 0 0 0 0 Mountainair..................... 51 23 55 34 / 0 0 0 5 Gran Quivira.................... 52 23 57 34 / 0 0 0 5 Carrizozo....................... 53 28 58 38 / 0 0 0 10 Ruidoso......................... 52 31 57 41 / 0 0 0 10 Capulin......................... 54 22 59 29 / 0 0 0 0 Raton........................... 56 20 60 26 / 0 0 0 0 Springer........................ 56 18 60 23 / 0 0 0 0 Las Vegas....................... 57 25 61 32 / 0 0 0 0 Clayton......................... 58 25 63 33 / 0 0 0 0 Roy............................. 54 22 58 29 / 0 0 0 0 Conchas......................... 58 21 63 28 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Rosa...................... 60 24 65 36 / 0 0 0 0 Tucumcari....................... 59 22 64 30 / 0 0 0 0 Clovis.......................... 55 24 62 34 / 0 0 0 0 Portales........................ 56 20 63 34 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Sumner..................... 56 20 64 31 / 0 0 0 0 Roswell......................... 50 22 60 34 / 0 0 0 0 Picacho......................... 56 29 65 40 / 0 0 0 0 Elk............................. 56 27 64 39 / 0 0 0 0 && .ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...71 LONG TERM....71 AVIATION...11